How accurate are our probabilities?
Our whole approach rests on one thing: when we say a horse has a 30% chance, it should win about 30% of the time. Here's the proof — measured against real results, published openly.
↑
Probabilities highly accurate
±0.9pp
average gap between predicted and actual
Across 12,215 runners the model has assessed, its predicted win probabilities land within 0.9 percentage points of what actually happened, on average.
In plain terms: when we say 30%, horses win close to 30%. That's what makes the value calculations on the race page trustworthy — the probabilities are real.
Predicted chance vs actual win rate
Every horse the model assigns a probability to, grouped by predicted chance, compared to how often those horses actually won. The closer "Actual" is to "Predicted", the more trustworthy the number.
| Predicted Chance | Predicted Avg | Actual Win Rate | Difference | Runners | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | +1.1pp | 2518 |
|
| 5–10% | 7.4% | 7.8% | +0.4pp | 4049 |
|
| 10–15% | 12.3% | 12.6% | +0.3pp | 2626 |
|
| 15–20% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 0.0pp | 1411 |
|
| 20–25% | 22.3% | 20.1% | -2.2pp | 666 |
|
| 25–30% | 27.2% | 28.2% | +1.0pp | 319 |
|
| 30–35% | 32.5% | 37.8% | +5.3pp | 201 |
|
| 35%+ | 42.3% | 36.7% | -5.6pp | 425 |
|
pp = percentage points. Green = within 3pp · Amber = within 7pp · Red = needs attention. Based on 12,215 runners across 46 racing days.
Accuracy by race type
Whether the probabilities hold up across different kinds of race. Predicted is the model's average chance; actual is how often those horses won.
Flat Handicap
Predicted11.5%
Actual11.4%
Difference
-0.1pp
6311 runners · see the races →
Novice / Maiden
Predicted12.2%
Actual12.4%
Difference
+0.2pp
2625 runners · see the races →
Jump Handicap
Predicted11.1%
Actual12.9%
Difference
+1.8pp
1361 runners · see the races →
Other
Predicted11.6%
Actual12.1%
Difference
+0.5pp
1057 runners · see the races →
Nan
Predicted9.4%
Actual10.2%
Difference
+0.8pp
352 runners · see the races →
Group
Predicted14.4%
Actual13.0%
Difference
-1.5pp
301 runners · see the races →
Listed
Predicted13.2%
Actual12.5%
Difference
-0.7pp
208 runners · see the races →
Flat Handicap — the races behind the number
Every runner's predicted chance and how it finished — the 200 most recent of 6311. Across all 6311: predicted 11.5%, actual 11.4%.
| Date | Race | Horse | Model chance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:30 | IRIS DANCER | 12% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:00 | RAIN CAP | 15% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 15:30 | COOLREE | 35% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 15:30 | STELLA LUCENTE | 23% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 15:30 | POLYGRAM | 18% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 15:30 | BRADBURY | 13% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 15:30 | MASTER OF ENTROPY | 11% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 15:30 | THE NEW BAY PEARL | 9% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 16:30 | JEZ BOMB | 38% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 16:30 | MOONJID | 24% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 16:30 | PERCYS DAYDREAM | 18% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 16:30 | POMME POMME | 17% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 16:30 | WITHOUT COMPROMISE | 11% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:00 | BULLINGTON BRY | 23% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 15:30 | MOUNT KING | 12% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:00 | BATTENBURG BELLE | 12% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:00 | COILED | 5% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:00 | MY BOY JACK | 11% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:30 | GOYARD | 14% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:30 | BELL SHOT | 16% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:00 | GO VICTOR | 4% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:30 | THE GOOD BISCUIT | 22% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:00 | SUMMER RAIN | 6% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:00 | ELDEYAAR | 6% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:00 | POWER OF CHORA | 8% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:00 | MISS MAGIC DRAGON | 8% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 17:00 | STARSONG | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 17:33 | TANJEN | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | LIAMO | 17% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 17:33 | BEAUZON | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 17:33 | FAR TOO FIZZY | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 17:33 | HARRY MOLE | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 17:33 | OVER SPICED | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 17:33 | RIFFA SPIRIT | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 17:33 | SAMS XPRESS | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | PRINCESS CHLOE | 21% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | WILL BE KING | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | ROMAN HARRY | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | THUMAMA SANDS | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | DAWN FLAME | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | MAKERS MARK | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | STIORRA | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | BABY BASMA | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | HERO OF THE HOUR | 4% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Chester 17:33 | J STREET | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 17:33 | MAHARAJAS EXPRESS | 10% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:23 | MASTER OF MY FATE | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 17:33 | KNICKS | 14% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:23 | HENRYTHENATE | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:23 | GRANDLAD | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:23 | ROSENPUR | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:23 | SECRET MISTRAL | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:23 | ACES WILD | 7% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:23 | COPPER KNIGHT | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | VARIANCE | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:23 | MIRACULOUS | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:23 | SPENDMORE LANE | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 17:33 | KELDEO | 24% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:58 | SEVEN SISTERS | 37% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:58 | BREAK THE BANK | 20% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:58 | NOLTON CROSS | 18% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:58 | LEXINGTON JET | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:58 | PARLANDO | 12% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:58 | SECRET BEACH | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:58 | DUC DE KENT | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | MINI COTAI | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | LEANNESPOUR | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | ROMANTIC WAR | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | GLEN BREEZE | 20% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 16:30 | LIBERATION DATE | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 16:30 | RED HUGH ODONNELL | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 16:30 | SNOW PRINCESS | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 16:30 | OCEAN MANIFEST | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:05 | BURFORD BEAUTY | 21% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:05 | DUCHESS ANNE | 17% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:05 | YQUEM | 16% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:05 | MAGNA GEE GEE | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:05 | MASTER GARVEY | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:05 | DEUTERONOMY | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:05 | HAUGHTY | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:05 | HEXAGONAL | 6% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:05 | LADY LUCK | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:05 | MORNING APPROACH | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:05 | SHAHADA ACE | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:05 | GEORG ZHUKOV | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:05 | JAZZ DREAMERS | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 16:30 | ZARAAHMANDO | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 16:30 | NO MORE PORTER | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 16:30 | HARANA | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | INCREDIBLE ARMY | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | DYNAMIC FORCE | 14% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | EICHAN SAN | 13% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | USUARIO AMIGO | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | JACKANDTHEFOX | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | THE BLUE PANTHER | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | BEAU ARMY | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | BRAINS | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | MIQDAAD | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 16:30 | FRANK PICKLE | 15% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | SANDS CASTLE | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | SNAP DECISION | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:23 | RIGHT AND EXACT | 24% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | NOSMOKEWITHOUTFIRE | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | DARWINS ANGEL | 2% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:44 | TARIFF | 2% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 16:30 | HAMBELTON | 28% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Chester 16:23 | AL HUSSAR | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 14:28 | COLLECTING COIN | 17% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Chester 15:48 | BOSTON DAN | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:45 | FRANKIES DREAM | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | MUDITA | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | TAILORMAN | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | BINT AL DAAR | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | GREEN FALCON | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | HENGEST | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | OASIS SUNRISE | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | PATROL | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | PRIMO LARA | 4% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | TARITINO | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | A DAUGHTERS LOVE | 2% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | SIR GRIFLET | 2% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:45 | GRIZEDALE | 24% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:45 | ASMEN WARRIOR | 14% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:45 | BLUE RC | 13% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:45 | CHRISTIAN DAVID | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:45 | CROWN BOARD | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:45 | HICKORY | 10% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | OHARA | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | MASTERINTHEWOODS | 13% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | EDWIN HUBBLE | 14% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | GREAT ACCLAIM | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | AMAZING JOURNEY | 15% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | BACK IN BLACK | 13% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | EXTREMELY ZAIN | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | COMPLETELY RANDOM | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | MEZCALA | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | STELLAR SUNRISE | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | TWO TRIBES | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | SAYTARR | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:10 | AKHO MEZZNA | 22% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | AALTO | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | ARCTIC DAWN | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | ATA RANGI | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | LEADMAN | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | PHILANTHROPIST | 2% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | GOLDEN MIND | 2% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:55 | SWORD | 2% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:45 | SPANISH VOICE | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:45 | SPOKEN TRUTH | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 15:48 | STARGAZED | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:45 | SALAM DUBAWI | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 13:53 | RISK AVERSE REBEL | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 13:53 | KINDLY QUEEN | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 13:53 | SISTERANDBROTHER | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 13:53 | RETURN WITH GOLD | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 14:28 | COOL MOLLY | 40% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 17:27 | MICK THE HAT | 20% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 14:28 | HIGHLAND OLLY | 14% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 14:28 | GIANT | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 14:28 | SUPREME CLARETS | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 14:28 | WOODSTOCK | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 14:28 | LAW OF DESIGN | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 14:28 | QUIET RESOLVE | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 15:48 | CALICO BLUE | 34% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Chester 15:48 | GRASMERE BOY | 22% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 15:48 | POSTMODERN | 21% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 15:48 | RAY MON DOUGH | 14% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 15:48 | TRICKY TEL | 14% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 13:53 | IMPERIAL TROOPER | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 13:53 | GREY FABLE | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 13:53 | MR MOONSHINE | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 17:20 | KYLIAN | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 16:45 | URBAN LION | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 17:20 | ALL WAYS GLAMOROUS | 15% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 17:20 | EMPEROR SPIRIT | 14% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 17:20 | BOLO NEIGHS | 13% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 17:20 | GETREADYTORUMBLE | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 17:20 | INDIAN RUN | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 17:20 | KING OF LIGHT | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 17:20 | PILGRIM | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 13:53 | OTTOMAN | 16% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 17:20 | RHYTHM N HOOVES | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 17:20 | ROCKING ENDS | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 17:20 | SIR YOSHI | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 17:20 | BASSENTHWAITE | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 17:20 | UNDERWRITER | 2% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 13:53 | AL MASLOOL | 27% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Chester 13:53 | YOKKELL | 23% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 17:27 | SIXTY PLUS | 48% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 14:12 | GARRYOWEN GREEN | 2% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 17:27 | ALEX THE GREAT | 16% | — |
| 25 Jul | Salisbury 20:45 | ARVANA BELLE | 15% | — |
| 25 Jul | Salisbury 20:45 | OUTRACE | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Salisbury 20:45 | ITS LIFE | 9% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | York 14:00 | ADDISON GREY | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | York 14:00 | EVENING BLUES | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | York 14:00 | AIR FORCE ONE | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | York 14:00 | COMMANCHE FALLS | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | York 14:00 | MUSICAL TOUCH | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | York 14:00 | RED SPELLS DANGER | 7% | — |
Novice / Maiden — the races behind the number
Every runner's predicted chance and how it finished — the 200 most recent of 2625. Across all 2625: predicted 12.2%, actual 12.4%.
| Date | Race | Horse | Model chance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 15:00 | THE MEAN FIDDLER | 4% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 15:00 | ONSLAUGHT | 21% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 14:30 | ASSET | 54% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 14:30 | FELIZ NAVIDAD | 12% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 15:00 | BOLT OF BLUE | 38% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 14:30 | ALBEMAGIC | 27% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 15:00 | CALEF | 14% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 15:00 | NAVAL COP | 8% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 15:00 | SHAQRA QUEEN | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:55 | WHATSIN THE STARS | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:55 | BLUE ORQUIDEA | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:55 | DUCHESS OF KENLI | 10% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:55 | STAR OF BEAUTY | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:55 | SERENDIPIA | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:55 | WEARING STARS | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:55 | CHURCHFIELD LADY | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:55 | BALLYSAX BOO | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 18:30 | SUMMER TRIANGLE | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:55 | WALLS CROSS | 2% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:55 | MRS LADY BELLA | 2% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 18:30 | SPIRIT OF LYRA | 39% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:55 | ELMAKAYA | 31% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 18:30 | FORTUNATE | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 18:30 | LAST DANDELION | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 18:30 | MYSTIC BALLISTIC | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:55 | VISHAYA | 17% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 13:40 | THELYMITRA | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 13:40 | WHY OH WHY | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 13:40 | SEAXBURH | 35% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 15:10 | VELOCIRAPTOR | 41% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Chester 15:10 | STORM BLADE | 19% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 15:10 | KATIES CAVALIER | 13% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 15:10 | SEA IDOL | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 15:10 | ROYAL TITAN | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Chester 15:10 | PARRY GREEN | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 13:40 | OLD JOANIE | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 13:40 | SPECTROLYTE | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 13:40 | ANA MORELLO | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 13:40 | DIAMONDS AND DAMES | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 13:40 | SWORD OF STATE | 5% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 13:40 | MATAVAI BAY | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 18:30 | WILD ORCHID | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 13:40 | SONIC SABIHA | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 18:30 | ROBERTS LEGACY | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:55 | HELLO STACIA | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 19:00 | IT DUNT MARRA | 33% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | MOLLISHA | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | SUENICORA STAR | 2% | — |
| 25 Jul | Salisbury 18:15 | SIERRA BELLE | 49% | — |
| 25 Jul | Salisbury 18:15 | PRIDE OF TOLEDO | 24% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Salisbury 18:15 | HEMUSTBEANANGEL | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Salisbury 18:15 | DEBUTANTE | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Salisbury 18:45 | KINETIC IMPACT | 53% | — |
| 25 Jul | Salisbury 18:45 | RAGGAAS | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Salisbury 18:45 | MATINS | 7% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | York 15:42 | DESERT SMOKE | 38% | — |
| 25 Jul | York 15:42 | HOUT BAY | 25% | — |
| 25 Jul | York 15:42 | NOUR | 19% | — |
| 25 Jul | York 15:42 | BEAR LEE | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | York 15:42 | GLADYS PUGH | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | York 15:42 | ROGUE JEWEL | 7% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 19:00 | DESERT LEGEND | 22% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | ONE SHOT KODI | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Salisbury 18:45 | GARTH SPIRIT | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | ASANDER | 3% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | MIND THOSE STEPS | 13% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 19:00 | AMERICAN PSYCHO | 16% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | FRONTIER LEGEND | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 19:00 | ITS A GINGER THING | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 19:00 | CATCHING DREAMS | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 19:00 | CASH FLOW BOY | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Lingfield 19:00 | MARRALYN | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | CHAN NOIR | 15% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | MIRZIMAAN | 25% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | ROTELLE | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | FANTASY FORCE | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | ODEGAARD | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | STAR MARTINI | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | GOLD KEY | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 14:39 | ON GOLDEN POND | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 18:33 | FEEL HAPPY | 16% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 18:33 | GAINEAMH MIN | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 18:33 | ANDAMAN FIFTY | 21% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 18:33 | CLADACH | 14% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 18:33 | FINIKA | 12% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Cork 18:33 | TREK HOME | 7% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 18:33 | OCEAN ECHO | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 18:33 | STRIKEPOINT | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 18:33 | DASH OF COLOUR | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | DIRECT APPROACH | 11% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 18:33 | VINHO DOCHE | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 18:33 | BRIGERBAD | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 18:33 | OPTICS | 1% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | KASPER HAUSER | 20% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | MONNTIE | 18% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | OPEN APPROACH | 16% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 16:48 | TANGO CLUB | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | PEBBLE ISLAND | 10% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 18:33 | STOOKED | 25% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:52 | TEMPLE COURT | 24% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 16:48 | LETMEENTERTAINYOU | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 16:48 | BLOOMING SALLY | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | ROSARIAN | 8% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:52 | FOREST BERRY | 28% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:52 | BOSSY ANGEL | 14% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:52 | DISSENTER | 11% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:52 | BEECHWOOD GLORY | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:52 | CRUZCAMPO CAI | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:52 | EVANGELINE ADAMS | 5% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:52 | ZONNEVELD | 5% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:52 | DEFIANT DREAM | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:52 | NAPPS WAY | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 16:48 | HANNEY BOY | 46% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Cork 16:48 | WALK ON HARRY | 11% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 16:48 | BEST LOVE | 8% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 16:48 | ROEILLAUN | 7% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 16:48 | NO TIME FAULTS | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 16:48 | CAPITAL OF PRIDE | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 16:48 | WHAMMY | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | EARTHWATCH | 9% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:05 | BLUE JOHNL | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | BOBBY KIROVA | 7% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 19:21 | OCALLAGHAN CAN | 10% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 19:21 | BARTON SKY | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Sandown 17:47 | NIGHTBLOOM | 24% | — |
| 24 Jul | Sandown 17:47 | DOWNONMAINSTREET | 10% | — |
| 24 Jul | Sandown 17:47 | ELPEEARE | 9% | — |
| 24 Jul | Sandown 17:47 | NOT MY TYPE | 8% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Sandown 17:47 | BINT PALACE PIER | 7% | — |
| 24 Jul | Sandown 17:47 | DELIGHFULLY HOT | 7% | — |
| 24 Jul | Sandown 17:47 | DUTYS CALL | 5% | — |
| 24 Jul | York 18:40 | THE FIRST DROP | 31% | — |
| 24 Jul | York 18:40 | CORAL COVE | 17% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | York 18:40 | TRAVELLERS GIRL | 14% | — |
| 24 Jul | York 18:40 | SWEET IRIS | 9% | — |
| 24 Jul | York 18:40 | THE RESDEV ROCKET | 5% | — |
| 24 Jul | York 18:40 | DIPLOMACY | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | York 18:40 | RULE OF THE AGENCY | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | York 18:40 | SPECIAL OPERATIONS | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | KENNYS JEWEL | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 19:21 | GIORGIA ROSE | 8% | — |
| 24 Jul | Sandown 17:47 | COCONUT STALL | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 19:21 | CLONE CROSS | 12% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:05 | TEXAS RED | 13% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | CHAMP YOUNG | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 19:21 | LE QUESTIONNAIRE | 19% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | HURLING ACADEMY | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | GREEN GRASS | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | PILLARTOU | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 16:30 | IM GOLD | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:05 | MYSILVERRIVERFEALE | 18% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:05 | PRESS THE BUTTON | 16% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:05 | FACILE OCEAN | 23% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 19:21 | RUSTY HARKNESS | 41% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:05 | LENGARUKA | 7% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:05 | FAIRY MEADOW | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:05 | G N JEFFERSON | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:05 | TELL ME SEE | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:05 | RUMBLE DEMOSA | 10% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:05 | DOESTHATMAKESENSE | 1% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 17:28 | REAL TROUPER | 8% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 17:28 | THUNDER RUSH | 2% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 17:28 | ROGUE FEDERATION | 2% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 17:28 | INSPECTRE | 2% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 17:28 | HULK POWER | 2% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 17:28 | LADY FIZZ | 3% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 17:28 | MORAL VICTORY | 3% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 17:28 | GALLANT PIONEER | 5% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 17:28 | BAAREQ | 11% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 18:01 | DOVECOTE | 35% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 17:28 | WALKING ON STARS | 1% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 18:01 | RIDGER | 2% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 18:01 | CONSPIRACIST | 20% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 18:01 | GRAN VENTURA | 12% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 18:01 | PURE PASSION | 5% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 18:01 | RAKE LANE | 5% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 18:01 | FOR EVER HOPEFULL | 4% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 18:01 | PROTECTRIX | 4% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 18:01 | COSMIC BOND | 3% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 18:01 | HEAVENS HOPE | 2% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 18:01 | LEAGUE OF JUSTICE | 2% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 17:28 | BURNING IMPACT | 30% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 18:01 | MORTY ROBINSON | 2% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 17:28 | FOXY NIGHT | 11% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 16:58 | THE LONG HAUL | 6% | — |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 18:30 | RUBY SANDS | 4% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 17:33 | ARMARONES GIRL | 4% | — |
| 23 Jul | Southwell 18:36 | BERESFORD GAP | 24% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 16:58 | SHAKESPEARE | 29% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 16:58 | GREEN DREAMER | 16% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 16:58 | HIGHEST ORDER | 13% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 16:58 | DARKNESS FALLS | 11% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 17:33 | SEA OF RAIN | 25% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 17:33 | CITRUS SPRINGS | 22% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 17:33 | VIOLET BE HUMBLE | 11% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 17:33 | BALLYMACKNEY | 6% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 17:33 | LILY BEAR | 5% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 17:33 | CHURCHILL BOND | 4% | — |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 18:30 | MODA ROSA | 4% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 17:33 | COASTAL WONDER | 3% | — |
Jump Handicap — the races behind the number
Every runner's predicted chance and how it finished — the 200 most recent of 1361. Across all 1361: predicted 11.1%, actual 12.9%.
| Date | Race | Horse | Model chance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:42 | TOMMY CULLEN | 7% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:12 | PADDY DE POLE | 9% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:12 | KARNAVAL POINT | 16% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:12 | IDAHO FIRE | 17% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:12 | DIVILABOTHER | 35% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 15:42 | THE FLYING POET | 6% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 15:42 | SURE TOUCH | 7% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 15:42 | HOLD YOUR FORT | 8% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 15:42 | IMPERIAL ALEX | 15% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 15:42 | GRAND CLERMONT | 19% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 15:12 | ROMANY BROWN | 7% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 15:12 | WAR CORRESPONDENT | 8% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 15:12 | BRIGHT LEGEND | 9% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 15:12 | DROMBEG LAD | 38% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:42 | GRANNY B | 4% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:42 | MIRACLES DO HAPPEN | 4% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:42 | CURIOUS MRS FOX | 5% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:42 | PRETTYLADY | 7% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:42 | NORTHERN ROSE | 7% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:42 | NO RISK TODAY | 8% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:42 | JUKEBOX ANNIE | 9% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:42 | MYFAVOURITESISTER | 9% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:42 | DOTTIES PROMISE | 11% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:42 | CULLIGRAN | 14% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:42 | LADY FORTUNE | 24% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:12 | SHALLOW RIVER | 14% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 15:12 | EMERALD TIME | 19% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:12 | PIKE ROAD | 8% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:12 | JAFIMGOSO | 18% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:12 | TYSON | 7% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:42 | THE SECRET PEARL | 10% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:42 | OCTOBER HILL | 11% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:42 | FISKARDO | 13% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:42 | SONYOURASTAR | 18% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:42 | UHTRED RAGNARSON | 35% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:12 | ILLICO DE MONTAVE | 4% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:12 | WARNERS CROSS | 6% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:12 | LUMINARIES | 8% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:12 | IAMYOUARE | 12% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:12 | CRAFTY GAEL | 13% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:12 | BENY NAHAR ROAD | 5% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:42 | BELLE LE GRAND | 12% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:42 | A DUBLIN JOB | 5% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:42 | LAKEFIELD FLYER | 6% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:42 | RAS KASSAR | 8% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:42 | PALAMON | 9% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:42 | HUDSON | 10% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:42 | GATEAU DE MIEL | 10% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:42 | COUNTRY PARK | 22% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:42 | AT THE OCHE | 32% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:12 | PURPLE OWL | 33% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:12 | ROGER POL | 7% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:11 | PATRICK STREET | 7% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:11 | RIZEDDA | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:11 | RARE TIMES | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:46 | MAGIC DAY | 12% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:11 | BANGOR LADY | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:11 | BOWGATE STREET | 10% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:11 | THIRSTY WORK | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:46 | IN THE TRENCHES | 13% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:11 | OGRADY CRACKER | 3% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:11 | LALIGURASH | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:11 | TAWNY LEA | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:46 | LAXXIO | 16% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:11 | DEARG MOR | 21% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:11 | WESTERN OPERA | 17% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | SNEDDY EDDIE | 11% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | MOVIE KING | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | IM FLATTERED | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | DARK BERKSHIRE | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | CIRCUS ACT | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | MALBAS | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | BARROGSTOWN GIRL | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | FLASH THE BADGE | 5% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | BURLINGTON HOUSE | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | FINNICKY FILLY | 7% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | DREAM SHAPER | 8% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | WHISPERING WILLOW | 10% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | FRIAR HOGAN | 12% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:46 | MON SHERIFFE | 7% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:46 | IN FOR THE NIGHT | 9% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 17:40 | SURVIVING MURMANSK | 1% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:46 | ANDYS FLAME | 5% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 20:30 | IXIGRECZED | 8% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:25 | MAGHLAAK | 5% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:25 | JAMMY JAY | 5% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:25 | GARDENER | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:25 | DIVILABOTHER | 8% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:25 | WUDYA | 10% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:25 | MAGICAL HILL | 12% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:25 | DREAMS KA | 13% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:25 | DREAM DIAMOND | 15% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 20:30 | BATTLE OF BENBURB | 2% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 20:30 | SYRACUS DU HOUX | 5% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 20:30 | HURRICANE HONEY | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 20:30 | LUIMNEACH | 8% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 16:25 | GOLDEN MAVERICK | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:46 | SILLY MONGOOSE | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 19:56 | GOLDEN TEMPLE | 4% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 20:30 | DOYEN MAGIC | 10% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 19:56 | COSTACURTA | 14% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 19:56 | REXEM | 12% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 19:56 | MILAN FORTH | 9% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 19:56 | PRINCE PALACE | 5% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 19:56 | TULLYBEG | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 19:56 | LINDEN ARDEN | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 20:30 | LOVE LIKE THIS | 22% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 20:30 | ISLAND MCCOO | 17% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 20:30 | MY GOOD PAL | 15% | — |
| 24 Jul | Kilbeggan 20:30 | WATTY SHOW | 12% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:45 | LADY VICTRIX | 5% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:45 | KATIES CASPER | 10% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:45 | BARRYROE MADAM | 7% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:45 | ELLENS PRIDE | 6% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:45 | ERSUDALY | 6% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:45 | JURY FOREMAN | 5% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | BALLINABOOLA GOLD | 9% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:45 | GERRYS WISH | 4% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:45 | BALLINABOOLA HANNA | 3% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | FIRE CORAL | 23% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | CLEVER COURT | 17% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | PHILDANTE | 16% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:45 | SET THE TONE | 15% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:45 | CHARLIES DILEMMA | 11% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:10 | JE SUIS | 23% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:45 | HOBS ANGEL | 16% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:45 | TRUE HARMONY | 21% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:10 | OCEAN MURPHY | 3% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:10 | MATTER OF OPINION | 3% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:10 | JONNY CARROL | 3% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:10 | AN PEANN DEARG | 4% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:10 | MIDLETON RARE | 5% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:10 | LADIAM | 7% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:10 | HARPY EAGLE | 8% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:10 | COSTANUCI | 10% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:10 | COOLBOY CHRISTY | 11% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:10 | EMPIRE WALK | 15% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | GEORGIA CELENA | 8% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 17:10 | DOUBLE POWER | 4% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | NASHVILLE NOTIONS | 7% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | CHASING CROWNS | 7% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:55 | BOOLA TIMES | 4% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | CRUISIN SUSAN | 5% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 19:30 | LISS EILE | 3% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 19:30 | EASTERN BLUE BIRD | 4% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 19:30 | TASMANIAN GIRL | 5% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 19:30 | GLENDOWER | 6% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 19:30 | AVANDRA | 6% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 19:30 | VICTORIA KESIA | 8% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 19:30 | TROPICAL TWIST | 13% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 19:30 | DEL BOYS DIVA | 15% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 19:30 | LET IT SETTLE | 20% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:55 | MOUNT HOTHAM | 3% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:55 | ESTICKY END | 4% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 19:30 | SYOSSET | 11% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:55 | RIGHTFOLKSPLEASE | 6% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | DESERT CAVE | 2% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:55 | SIDIRIYA | 9% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | TALAS KERA | 5% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | TRIXABOUTMAISIE | 5% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | KEEP THE HEAD | 3% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | MOONLIGHT PARADISE | 3% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:20 | GLAOINN AN AIRGEAD | 5% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:55 | HATFIELD HAMMER | 21% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:55 | BACKINABIT | 14% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:55 | CINNABAR MOTH | 12% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 18:55 | RANTING AND RAVEN | 9% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 17:20 | AMBURANA | 6% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 16:50 | GOODY FOUR SHOES | 11% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 16:50 | DORANS LAW | 9% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 16:50 | CEROC | 6% | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 17:20 | OOGUM BOOGUM | 15% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 17:20 | NORTH OF NASHVILLE | 9% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 17:20 | EMBRACE THE DAY | 6% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 17:20 | CAPTAIN KATE | 6% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:50 | DUNANY POINT | 4% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 17:20 | FR GILLIGANSVOYGE | 6% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 17:20 | DERBY ROCK | 4% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 17:20 | MIDNIGHT MOONSHINE | 4% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:50 | GETAWAY HENRY | 4% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 17:20 | BARELY MADE IT | 3% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:50 | ONLY A DOLLAR | 5% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:50 | POLLY POPPINS | 5% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:50 | QUINN THE ESKIMO | 7% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:50 | FARROKH | 8% | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:50 | JUSTICIALISM | 10% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:50 | LAMIRAL FROMENTIN | 12% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:50 | CHOSEN SHANT | 14% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:50 | KINGS SON | 17% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:20 | STONEYFORD LADY | 6% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:20 | BALLYBRITTAS | 8% | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:20 | TRASNA NA PAIRCE | 11% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 15:20 | LADY DOYANNE | 14% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 17:20 | ANODANDAWINK | 4% | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul | Worcester 16:30 | LITTLE LEDGEND | 21% | — |
| 22 Jul | Worcester 16:00 | MEDIA MOGUL | 33% | — |
| 22 Jul | Worcester 16:30 | MEDINA BLUE | 5% | — |
| 22 Jul | Worcester 17:05 | CITIZEN JANE | 5% | — |
| 22 Jul | Worcester 17:05 | MANCERO | 6% | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul | Worcester 17:05 | INDIAN SUNBIRD | 7% | — |
Other — the races behind the number
Every runner's predicted chance and how it finished — the 200 most recent of 1057. Across all 1057: predicted 11.6%, actual 12.1%.
| Date | Race | Horse | Model chance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:12 | HELLO GARDA | 7% | ✓ Won |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:12 | KEEP UNDER WRAPS | 10% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:12 | US OFFICER | 10% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:12 | ZOOTER | 14% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:12 | ADBA | 15% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:12 | VIETNORM | 24% | — |
| 26 Jul | Uttoxeter 14:12 | SALKADAN | 29% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:40 | PUPPET MASTER | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 17:45 | FILEY BEACH | 14% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 17:45 | SASSY GLORY | 18% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:40 | GODDESS OF WAR | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:40 | SUMMER IS TOMORROW | 28% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:40 | SPICY MARGARITA | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:40 | LEOPOLD THE FIRST | 16% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:40 | BENEVENTO | 22% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 17:45 | I CAN BOOGY | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 17:45 | ANGEL OF ENGLAND | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 17:40 | HOLLYS GRACES | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 17:45 | LE PUY | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 17:45 | TWILIGHT DAWN | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 17:45 | LANGTON WOLD | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 17:45 | THE FLOORS MUNKY | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 17:45 | BELLING THE CAT | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 17:45 | TRAIS FLUORS | 2% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 17:45 | GO TEEJAY | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 17:45 | CHARCON | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Newcastle 17:45 | TIMEBAR | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 17:22 | SIROCCO SANDS | 19% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 19:36 | A ROSE ADAAY | 13% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 17:22 | LA TACHE | 19% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 17:22 | GRAYROBIN | 26% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 19:36 | WESTON COURT | 5% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 19:36 | STRONG MAN TOM | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 19:36 | FIGHTING QUEEN | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 19:36 | LADY MARGRET | 8% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 19:36 | FITZMAURICE | 10% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:18 | HAVANANOTHER | 7% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 19:36 | PRINCE ALI | 17% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 19:36 | KNIGHTMARE | 17% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 19:36 | STAR OF ATLANTIS | 24% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:18 | SOVEREIGN BEACH | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:18 | DREAMS GALORE | 9% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:18 | SO TEMPTING | 13% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:18 | IL CAPO | 16% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 17:18 | ABSOLUTE DIAMOND | 35% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 17:22 | LARS SOLDIER | 12% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 17:22 | STAR PROSPECT | 17% | — |
| 24 Jul | Chepstow 19:36 | JUDGE FRANK | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 17:22 | HI CORBETT COURT | 8% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:35 | SPARKLING WATER | 12% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Cork 17:22 | CELESTIAL CROWN | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:35 | EBARAYNA | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:35 | UPTON FERN | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:35 | LA MOON | 3% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:35 | MOUTH WATERING | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:35 | GEORGIES LADY | 5% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:35 | EAGLES PROMISE | 6% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:35 | DREAMING OF THE DR | 8% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:35 | FRANKIES FLAME | 10% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:35 | PETITE POET | 4% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:35 | LUCY GLITTERS | 17% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 19:43 | LADY IN THE GODS | 10% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 19:43 | THE MONDAY CLUB | 13% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 17:22 | BELLE ISLAND | 5% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 19:43 | FATES GAMBIT | 18% | — |
| 24 Jul | Cork 19:43 | ALPHONSUS LIGUORI | 28% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | Cork 19:43 | HOLY LETTUCE | 34% | — |
| 24 Jul | Uttoxeter 17:35 | THETYPE ISTITLE | 19% | — |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 17:55 | METAMOUSE | 9% | — |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 20:48 | CAPH STAR | 10% | — |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 20:48 | JUST AN HOUR | 14% | — |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 20:48 | LERWICK | 16% | — |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 20:48 | RAINTOWN | 21% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 20:48 | BALOOS BLUES | 23% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 19:53 | LORD AUS | 14% | — |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 17:55 | WAASIL | 13% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 17:55 | DUKE OF BURGUNDY | 13% | — |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 17:55 | VICTORY GOLD | 30% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 19:53 | KEEPSGETTINGBETTER | 21% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 19:53 | HANDSHAKE | 32% | — |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 20:48 | ONE COOL DREAMER | 8% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 19:53 | WYMAN | 39% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 20:48 | PORT LOUIS | 10% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 20:05 | DISTRACTION | 17% | — |
| 23 Jul | Newbury 20:48 | ZAMBEZI MAGIC | 6% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 20:05 | MOSES SPORT | 2% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 20:05 | COTSWOLD BLUE | 25% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 20:05 | PIPER STREET | 1% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 20:05 | BAMBI FEVER | 2% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 20:05 | A QUEST FOR COGNAC | 2% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 20:05 | BREDAS PEARL | 2% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 20:05 | DANCE PARTNER | 2% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 20:05 | NANCY WHEELER | 3% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 20:05 | ANTS FANTASY | 3% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 20:05 | PIT RIVER | 4% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 20:05 | SILK BUDS | 7% | — |
| 23 Jul | Wexford 20:05 | SPEISIALTA | 12% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 20:40 | CRECIENTE | 14% | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 20:40 | CAITLIN G | 6% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 20:40 | PINK SOCKS | 9% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 20:40 | ROVINIA | 9% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 20:40 | OH SO AUDACIOUS | 10% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 20:40 | EDERGOLES GIFT | 13% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 20:40 | ZALTALLA | 13% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 19:10 | MISS MONEYPIT | 29% | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 19:10 | TARGA | 6% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 19:10 | DREAMLOVER | 8% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 19:10 | DEES STAR | 8% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 19:10 | SABLE ISLAND | 17% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 19:10 | ROMIDIJO | 17% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 20:40 | ROCK MASTER | 2% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 20:40 | POET | 3% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 19:10 | INVICTA ROSE | 8% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 20:40 | ELECTROCUTION | 2% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 16:20 | LOS BLANCO | 16% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 16:20 | JACKSON LAMB | 0% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 16:20 | COLLEEN DANU | 5% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 16:20 | WEST AWAY | 7% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 16:20 | QUEENOFTHELODGE | 10% | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 16:20 | KOOL ONE | 14% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 20:40 | BARNSNAPE BOY | 0% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 14:45 | CENTREOFATTENTION | 12% | — |
| 22 Jul | Wexford 14:45 | SKY LORD | 17% | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul | Naas 20:30 | SUZIE SONGS | 22% | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul | Naas 20:30 | FORT VEGA | 22% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 20:30 | PHENOMENAL FILLY | 49% | — |
| 22 Jul | Lingfield 20:40 | MR JEFFREY | 0% | — |
| 21 Jul | Ballinrobe 20:09 | MERCI VIEIL AMI | 5% | — |
| 21 Jul | Nottingham 14:45 | ARC AT HER | 2% | — |
| 21 Jul | Nottingham 14:45 | SPACEAGE LOVE SONG | 8% | — |
| 21 Jul | Nottingham 14:45 | HELLO GARDA | 8% | — |
| 21 Jul | Nottingham 14:45 | MYNA | 18% | — |
| 21 Jul | Nottingham 14:45 | CHARENCEY | 18% | — |
| 21 Jul | Nottingham 14:45 | NYMPHAEA | 47% | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul | Ballinrobe 20:09 | HOMETOMAYO | 0% | — |
| 21 Jul | Ballinrobe 20:09 | COLGA BOYS | 4% | — |
| 21 Jul | Ballinrobe 20:09 | PAMELAISBRASS | 4% | — |
| 21 Jul | Ballinrobe 20:09 | SRAH | 5% | — |
| 21 Jul | Ballinrobe 20:09 | MILLERS POINT | 5% | — |
| 21 Jul | Ballinrobe 20:09 | SAVIOUR BLU | 5% | — |
| 21 Jul | Nottingham 15:45 | OUR FELLA | 25% | — |
| 21 Jul | Ballinrobe 20:09 | BALLYBOLLEN | 6% | — |
| 21 Jul | Ballinrobe 20:09 | MOUNDOFTHEHOSTAGES | 6% | — |
| 21 Jul | Ballinrobe 20:09 | LONG STORY | 12% | — |
| 21 Jul | Ballinrobe 20:09 | JOSHS JURY | 13% | — |
| 21 Jul | Ballinrobe 20:09 | TOMMYS TICKET | 16% | — |
| 21 Jul | Ballinrobe 20:09 | EALU TAPA | 19% | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul | Nottingham 15:45 | GLAMORIZE | 57% | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul | Nottingham 15:45 | HAVANA GIFT | 8% | — |
| 21 Jul | Wolverhampton 18:00 | ONE MILLION DREAMS | 14% | — |
| 21 Jul | Wolverhampton 18:00 | THREE YORKSHIREMEN | 16% | — |
| 21 Jul | Wolverhampton 18:00 | FREEWHEELIN | 0% | — |
| 21 Jul | Wolverhampton 18:00 | FIGHTING POET | 1% | — |
| 21 Jul | Wolverhampton 18:00 | THE PUG | 6% | — |
| 21 Jul | Wolverhampton 18:00 | HILL STATION | 7% | — |
| 21 Jul | Wolverhampton 18:00 | SHOPAHOLIC | 7% | — |
| 21 Jul | Wolverhampton 18:00 | DAARIS | 8% | — |
| 21 Jul | Wolverhampton 18:00 | INTO COMBAT | 11% | — |
| 21 Jul | Salisbury 18:21 | MARGORIE | 29% | — |
| 21 Jul | Wolverhampton 18:00 | BEAUNE | 14% | — |
| 21 Jul | Salisbury 18:21 | CALL GLORY | 9% | — |
| 21 Jul | Wolverhampton 18:00 | ZARAQUELLE | 18% | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul | Salisbury 18:21 | MIRAFLORES | 6% | — |
| 21 Jul | Salisbury 18:21 | ENDOWED | 6% | — |
| 21 Jul | Salisbury 18:21 | AMATHUS | 6% | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul | Salisbury 18:21 | SHADES OF MAY | 6% | — |
| 21 Jul | Salisbury 18:21 | SNOOKER MCCREW | 9% | — |
| 21 Jul | Salisbury 18:21 | HAPPIER | 9% | — |
| 21 Jul | Salisbury 18:21 | BEAU JARDINE | 9% | — |
| 21 Jul | Salisbury 18:21 | STACEY RACEY | 13% | — |
| 20 Jul | Ballinrobe 17:10 | TALKING TOUGH | 3% | — |
| 20 Jul | Ballinrobe 17:10 | MINAUN VIEW | 15% | — |
| 20 Jul | Ballinrobe 17:10 | CONCERT PARTY | 14% | — |
| 20 Jul | Ballinrobe 17:10 | BATTLING SIKI | 14% | — |
| 20 Jul | Ballinrobe 17:10 | SHES IDEAL | 13% | ✓ Won |
| 20 Jul | Ballinrobe 17:10 | SHELBOURNE FLYER | 6% | — |
| 20 Jul | Ballinrobe 17:10 | KASHEL SPRING | 18% | — |
| 20 Jul | Ballinrobe 17:10 | JR MAHON | 3% | — |
| 20 Jul | Ballinrobe 17:10 | ROMANTIC WAR | 0% | — |
| 20 Jul | Windsor 17:50 | THEHEATISON | 7% | — |
| 20 Jul | Windsor 17:50 | TROUBLESOME GUEST | 2% | — |
| 20 Jul | Windsor 17:50 | EL LAMBO | 2% | — |
| 20 Jul | Windsor 17:50 | ARABICA QUEEN | 43% | — |
| 20 Jul | Windsor 17:50 | REGAL TIGER | 17% | — |
| 20 Jul | Windsor 17:50 | KEEP KICKING ON | 29% | ✓ Won |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 17:00 | SEVEN NATION ARMY | 10% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 17:00 | LARS SOLDIER | 27% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 17:00 | DESERT ALCHEMIST | 20% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 17:00 | I READY | 11% | ✓ Won |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 17:00 | TRADEWINDS | 21% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 17:00 | BELLE ISLAND | 7% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 17:00 | LUCYS PROMISE | 6% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 17:00 | WOODLAWN LILY | 5% | — |
| 18 Jul | Cartmel 15:10 | WELL EDUCATED | 6% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newbury 15:37 | ROLLTHEDICEBABY | 7% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newbury 15:37 | ETIENNE | 9% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newbury 15:37 | BILL THE BULL | 7% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newbury 15:37 | KODI BEAR LIGHT | 10% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newbury 15:37 | SEED YA LATER | 11% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newbury 15:37 | BINT ARCHANGE | 15% | — |
Nan — the races behind the number
Every runner's predicted chance and how it finished — the 200 most recent of 352. Across all 352: predicted 9.4%, actual 10.2%.
| Date | Race | Horse | Model chance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | Bath 17:58 | LAVENDER BLOOM | 33% | — |
| 01 Jul | Bath 17:58 | GEEMANN | 16% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:55 | BLAZING SAINT | 8% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:55 | BOTH OF US | 11% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:55 | UNCLE REMUS | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:55 | MOJO EGO | 8% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:55 | PHANTOM GOLD | 18% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:55 | AL MOOTAMARID | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:55 | JET PATROL | 15% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:55 | BELCAMO | 11% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:25 | EMMAS WISH | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:25 | SWORD OF WESSEX | 14% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:25 | GIANTS WAY | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:25 | EARNEST BELIEF | 11% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:25 | DELGANY SECOND NOW | 14% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:25 | SCORO | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:25 | PURPLE OWL | 16% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:25 | HES TAILOR MADE | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:25 | DUNSTALL STAR | 10% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:25 | DROMBEG LAD | 9% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 14:50 | DIAMOND WHITE | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 15:55 | CASTLE QUARTER | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:25 | PORTETTA | 6% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:25 | STAVANGER ROSE | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:55 | LACRIMA | 13% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:05 | SCANDI NOIR | 16% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:05 | CRAYONS IN THE SKY | 15% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:55 | TOUCHWOODEXPRESS | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:55 | ARTISTE DAINAY | 17% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:55 | MAN OF THE SEA | 10% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:55 | ROXBORO RIVER | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:55 | PURE SEDUCTION | 9% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:55 | GRANITE SANDS | 14% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:55 | MASTERDREAM | 10% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:25 | ROLAND GARROS | 6% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:25 | DYNAMITE DEFENSE | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:25 | KHALKEAU SPIGAO | 12% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:25 | MAGNA PATCH | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:25 | BARAFUNDLE BAY | 6% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:25 | SCORESBY | 6% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:25 | KARTHALA | 24% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:25 | LOCKED DOWN LAD | 9% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 16:25 | BALLYLICKY BAY | 18% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 14:50 | FAITHFUL GUARDIAN | 9% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 14:50 | VERSATILE | 20% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 14:50 | TROUVILLE | 27% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:40 | MEN OF HONOUR | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:20 | YES DAY | 15% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:20 | QUICK SHARPENER | 21% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:20 | DUEL AU SOLEIL | 11% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:40 | RORYS GOLD | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:40 | IMPERIAL GUARD | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:40 | WEVE GOT THIS | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:40 | SINGOURA | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:40 | WAY TO DUBAI | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:40 | VINCE LE PRINCE | 9% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:20 | PIKE ROAD | 11% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:40 | IN A HURRY | 8% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:40 | FARANDAWAY | 15% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:40 | TATTIE BOGLE | 16% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:10 | MISTER SOX | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:10 | JUAN LES PINS | 17% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:10 | BERGERAC | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:10 | WESTMORIAN | 8% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:10 | AMERICAN STYLE | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:20 | DOYOUKNOWWHATIMEAN | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:20 | GWASH | 10% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 14:50 | JORAH DALMA | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:50 | CRACKERJACK QUEEN | 25% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 14:50 | FINE FELLOW | 6% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 14:20 | MISS DENVER | 8% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 14:20 | GREER HILL | 8% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 14:20 | MERELY A DETAIL | 14% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 14:20 | TURPIN GOLD | 13% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 14:20 | DISCO DAVIS | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 14:20 | LORD CHAMBERLAIN | 12% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:50 | EMBERSCOMBE | 8% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:50 | CULLIGRAN | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:20 | BETTYS TIARA | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:50 | KING OF THE STORY | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:50 | TECH THAT | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:50 | KNIGHTSBRIDGE | 25% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:50 | CALLI BLACK | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:50 | JULLOU DE GRISSAY | 13% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:20 | I AM THE MOON | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:20 | AXEL BLEUE | 9% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Worcester 13:20 | ATREIDES | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:05 | CYCLONE CODE | 8% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:05 | ANGLESEA BRIDGE | 17% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:05 | ALWAYSANANGEL | 15% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | KC BEAR | 11% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:55 | BELLA COLOMBIA | 17% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | SCHOOLYARD DAYS | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | DAWN FLAME | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | RETRO GAL | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | MAKE THE TIDE | 6% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | CISTERNA | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | AVOCA WOODS | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | KIRKLAND SIOUX | 11% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | JPS EXPRESS | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:55 | LAUNCH TIME | 10% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | LOVE ORCHID | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | JOHN LA BEAR | 6% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | HIPPOLOGY | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | FORTUITY | 13% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:20 | ONLY ONE SCOBIE | 10% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | ALTIMARA | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | CASLAS EAGLE | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | BEAR RIGHT | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:55 | WILLIAM F BROWNE | 13% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:55 | PETES DREAM | 16% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | ELLY BAY | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 20:30 | ALTURA | 6% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 20:30 | VANIR | 16% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 20:30 | SPRY | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 20:30 | SOIGNE | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 20:30 | PLEASED | 22% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 20:30 | PATH TO PEACE | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 20:30 | INVINCIBLE DESTINY | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 20:30 | ESSENTIAL COMEDY | 6% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 20:30 | COSMETIC | 22% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 20:30 | KIMY | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:55 | FAMOUS ENOUGH | 6% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 20:30 | KEEP IT TOGETHER | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:55 | RUSHFORD | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:55 | TULLYESKER | 1% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:55 | HEART OF DARKNESS | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:55 | MILVERTON | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:55 | BELIEVETH | 6% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:55 | PURE VALOUR | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 19:55 | LA CAMPANELLA | 8% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | IMNOTLEAVINYOU | 6% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | CAITOUNA | 5% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:05 | AWAY AND GONE | 11% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | HERO OF THE HOUR | 8% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | GLEN BREEZE | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | RUN FORREST RUN | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | LIVINGSTON RANGE | 6% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | JACKANDTHEFOX | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | CLARABELL | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | MONASTERE | 6% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | MINI COTAI | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | STEP BACK IN TIME | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | WHATSWRONGNOW | 10% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:10 | TROPICAL RETREAT | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | LOVE BOMB | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | TARA NA RI | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | LADY KELLY | 13% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | RAPPELL | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | TAWAAZON | 2% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | IM SPARTACUS | 9% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:05 | PINK VENOM | 9% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:05 | IVORY RIVER | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 17:40 | SHES ON THE BALL | 4% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:10 | GLORY TO BE | 8% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | TWO AND TWO | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | LITTLE MISS P | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | JASMINE AFFANALIS | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | SAGASTI | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | RODEEVE | 8% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | MINAUN VIEW | 9% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | HASITA | 9% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | FAMED AGAIN | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | ARE YOU IN OR OUT | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | QUEEN AETHELFLAED | 11% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:45 | CARRIGANS GROVE | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:10 | TREASURE ROSE | 19% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:10 | SPIRIT OF EAGLES | 6% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:10 | REIMAGINED | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:10 | HUGOS GIRL | 14% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:10 | GIRL BEAR | 15% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:10 | BEAUTY QUEEN | 3% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:10 | TREASURED ROYAL | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:10 | SOULFUL DIVA | 13% | — |
| 01 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:10 | THENANDNOW | 7% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:10 | LORD ROXBY | 12% | — |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:10 | INDIAN RUN | 16% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Thirsk 16:10 | STRONG WARRIOR | 12% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:20 | MREMBO | 10% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:50 | BULLRIDER | 12% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:50 | SHEMIYLA STAR | 21% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:50 | PRINTING MONEY | 10% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:50 | FOSCARINI | 9% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:50 | CONFERNATION | 11% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:20 | TURPIN | 8% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:20 | HAVEAGOBEAU | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:20 | BETA READER | 9% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:20 | SUPER HIT | 11% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:50 | WISE AND WONDERFUL | 21% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:20 | HELLO COTAI | 14% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:20 | BOBACIOUS | 9% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:20 | IMPERIAL CULT | 23% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:20 | OJ LIFESTYLE | 11% | — |
| 01 Jul | Bath 20:53 | CAMPEONA | 15% | — |
| 01 Jul | Bath 20:53 | BARAK WARRIOR | 10% | ✓ Won |
| 01 Jul | Bath 20:53 | WE RIDE AT DAWN | 32% | — |
| 01 Jul | Bath 20:53 | LAKOTA CHIEF | 11% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:50 | WHISKEY GALORE | 11% | — |
| 01 Jul | Epsom 17:50 | MOJITO MADNESS | 5% | — |
| 01 Jul | Bath 20:53 | SEA OF CHARM | 12% | — |
Group — the races behind the number
Every runner's predicted chance and how it finished — the 200 most recent of 301. Across all 301: predicted 14.4%, actual 13.0%.
| Date | Race | Horse | Model chance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul | York 14:35 | DANCING GEMINI | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 13:45 | ALTA REGINA | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:20 | SKYDANCE | 12% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:20 | CHESHIRE DANCER | 14% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:20 | TOULEEN | 19% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 13:45 | HARLEQUIN SKY | 3% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 13:45 | THE CAN CAN QUEEN | 4% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 13:45 | MAGNESIUM | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 13:45 | GLORIOUS GAME | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:20 | ARISAIG | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 13:45 | MISS KODI | 8% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 13:45 | VELOZEE | 9% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 13:45 | DEES FUNNY GIRL | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 13:45 | NUIT DECLAIR | 15% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 13:45 | DARK ISSUE | 17% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 13:45 | MOONRISE | 23% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:20 | KON TIKI | 9% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:20 | ESNA | 10% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:20 | PINA SONATA | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 15:35 | GOLIATH | 7% | — |
| 25 Jul | York 14:35 | PRIDE OF ARRAS | 15% | — |
| 25 Jul | York 14:35 | ROYAL CHAMPION | 18% | — |
| 25 Jul | York 14:35 | ITEM | 20% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | York 14:35 | DAMYSUS | 25% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 15:35 | WURTTEMBERG | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 15:35 | LAMBOURN | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 15:35 | MASQUERADE BALL | 5% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 15:35 | KALPANA | 9% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 15:35 | ACTION | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 15:35 | CALANDAGAN | 13% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 15:35 | MINNIE HAUK | 15% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 15:35 | BENVENUTO CELLINI | 17% | — |
| 25 Jul | Ascot 14:20 | SUKANYA | 6% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 18:08 | CEDRELA | 4% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 18:08 | ALPHA | 24% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 18:08 | BLONDE OVER BLUE | 15% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 18:08 | DANCING DESTINY | 12% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 18:08 | NEVERMINDTHERAIN | 8% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 18:08 | TOSCA NO CANDIS | 5% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 18:43 | NAIL HOUSE | 20% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 18:43 | AIX LA CHAPELLE | 30% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 18:43 | FOLSOM BLUES | 26% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 18:43 | FLORIDA BAY | 16% | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 18:43 | SUPREME LORD | 11% | — |
| 23 Jul | Leopardstown 18:43 | TIO JOAO | 8% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 16:25 | AL RIFFA | 26% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 15:15 | POWER BLUE | 21% | ✓ Won |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 15:15 | AUDIENCE | 17% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 15:15 | DUCKADILLY | 15% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 15:15 | DORSET | 13% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 15:15 | EAST HAMPTON | 8% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 15:15 | BIG GOSSEY | 25% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 16:25 | ILLINOIS | 20% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 16:25 | TENNESSEE STUD | 11% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 16:25 | TRUSTYOURINSTINCT | 9% | ✓ Won |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 16:25 | HAPPY PHAROAH | 8% | — |
| 19 Jul | Curragh 16:25 | FLORESTA | 14% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 15:25 | IPANEMA QUEEN | 5% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:00 | CELERON | 13% | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:00 | SWITCHING SIDES | 16% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:00 | IMMORTAL GUARD | 19% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:00 | CARRY THE FLAG | 24% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:00 | CONFUCIUS | 32% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 15:25 | BRUSSELS | 4% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 15:25 | BUCANERO FUERTE | 5% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 15:25 | PARTISAN HERO | 8% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 15:25 | COVER UP | 6% | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 15:25 | KENDALL ROY | 9% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 15:25 | JAKAJARO | 12% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 15:25 | CHARLES DARWIN | 17% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 15:25 | HAVANA ANNA | 21% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 15:25 | ROSY AFFAIR | 24% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:35 | EARTH SHOT | 20% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:00 | TRIBECA | 10% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:00 | THE SCALLIONATOR | 8% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newbury 15:02 | SYMBOL OF HONOUR | 13% | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:35 | AMELIA EARHART | 15% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newbury 15:02 | SONG OF THE CLYDE | 9% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newbury 15:02 | JASOUR | 10% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newbury 15:02 | SOLDIERS TREE | 15% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newbury 15:02 | NOBLE CHAMPION | 17% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newbury 15:02 | MITBAAHY | 19% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newbury 15:02 | BINHAREER | 24% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:35 | SUGAR ISLAND | 4% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:35 | COMPOSING | 4% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:35 | JOHANNA WALSH | 5% | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:35 | BEAUTIFY | 5% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:35 | CAMEO | 6% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:35 | INIS MOR | 8% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:35 | REBEL MOON | 9% | — |
| 18 Jul | Curragh 16:35 | SPARAN NUA | 11% | — |
| 16 Jul | Leopardstown 19:10 | GERYON | 27% | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul | Leopardstown 19:10 | ISAAC NEWTON | 19% | — |
| 16 Jul | Leopardstown 19:10 | SYZYGY | 17% | — |
| 16 Jul | Leopardstown 19:10 | ADELAIDE RIVER | 15% | — |
| 16 Jul | Leopardstown 19:10 | COWARDOFTHECOUNTY | 13% | — |
| 16 Jul | Leopardstown 19:10 | SNELLEN | 10% | — |
| 11 Jul | Ascot 14:27 | NO LUNCH | 9% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:00 | ALFRED WALLACE | 12% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:00 | NOTABLE DREAM | 13% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:00 | SILVER DOMINION | 14% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:00 | ABRAHAM LINCOLN | 15% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:00 | PIKACHU | 16% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:00 | AL HUDAIBA | 17% | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:35 | MISSION CENTRAL | 16% | — |
| 11 Jul | Ascot 14:27 | ZEUS OLYMPIOS | 9% | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul | Ascot 14:27 | DOCKLANDS | 11% | — |
| 11 Jul | Ascot 14:27 | NAQEEB | 12% | — |
| 11 Jul | Ascot 14:27 | JONQUIL | 13% | — |
| 11 Jul | Ascot 14:27 | HOLLOWAY BOY | 14% | — |
| 11 Jul | Ascot 14:27 | SEAGULLS ELEVEN | 15% | — |
| 11 Jul | Ascot 14:27 | MORE THUNDER | 16% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:35 | ALMERAQ | 17% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:00 | GREEN SOVEREIGN | 11% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:35 | DIVISION | 6% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:35 | COPPULL | 17% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:35 | BIG MOJO | 0% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 16:55 | EPIC POET | 14% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 16:55 | PEACE BELLE | 15% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:35 | PRINCE OF INDIA | 13% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 16:55 | MOUNT ATLAS | 17% | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul | York 16:55 | DUKE OF OXFORD | 18% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 16:55 | TABLETALK | 19% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 16:55 | ARABIAN FORCE | 16% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:35 | SATONO REVE | 2% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:35 | QUINAULT | 4% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:35 | COMANCHE BRAVE | 6% | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:35 | VENETIAN SUN | 9% | — |
| 11 Jul | Newmarket 16:35 | DOUBLE RUSH | 9% | — |
| 10 Jul | York 14:45 | FLORA OF BERMUDA | 11% | ✓ Won |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 15:35 | PRECISE | 16% | — |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 15:35 | JANCIS | 15% | — |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 15:35 | VENETIAN LACE | 14% | — |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 15:35 | BALANTINA | 13% | — |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 15:35 | VENOSA | 12% | — |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 15:35 | EVOLUTIONIST | 11% | — |
| 10 Jul | York 14:45 | FIRST INSTINCT | 15% | — |
| 10 Jul | York 14:45 | SPICY MARG | 14% | — |
| 10 Jul | York 14:45 | ROYAL FIXATION | 12% | — |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 14:25 | TROUBLESOME GUEST | 8% | — |
| 10 Jul | York 14:45 | FLUORESCENCE | 9% | — |
| 10 Jul | York 14:45 | FIGJAM | 7% | — |
| 10 Jul | York 14:45 | SOUL LOVE | 7% | — |
| 10 Jul | York 14:45 | HOLD A DREAM | 6% | — |
| 10 Jul | York 14:45 | FITZELLA | 6% | — |
| 10 Jul | York 14:45 | AMERICA QUEEN | 5% | — |
| 10 Jul | York 14:45 | CELANDINE | 4% | — |
| 10 Jul | York 14:45 | KINSWOMAN | 3% | — |
| 10 Jul | York 14:45 | CATCHING THE MOON | 0% | — |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 15:35 | BLUE BOLT | 17% | ✓ Won |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 14:25 | JOLIVETTE | 10% | — |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 14:25 | RUBY MOON | 12% | — |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 14:25 | ETONNANTE | 13% | — |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 14:25 | ALWAYSANANGEL | 14% | — |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 14:25 | SENORITA BONITA | 16% | ✓ Won |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 14:25 | LIBERTANGO | 16% | — |
| 10 Jul | Newmarket 14:25 | ACCLAMATION STAR | 11% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 13:50 | DEL MARO | 22% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 13:50 | GALIYAN | 19% | — |
| 09 Jul | Leopardstown 17:55 | BELLA ISABELLA | 19% | — |
| 09 Jul | Leopardstown 17:55 | PHENOMENAL FILLY | 18% | — |
| 09 Jul | Leopardstown 17:55 | DUCKADILLY | 17% | ✓ Won |
| 09 Jul | Leopardstown 17:55 | FINGERPAINT | 16% | — |
| 09 Jul | Leopardstown 17:55 | NANCY J | 15% | — |
| 09 Jul | Leopardstown 17:55 | CHANTEZ | 14% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 13:50 | ALDERMAN | 20% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 13:50 | POINT OF LAW | 21% | ✓ Won |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 13:50 | NIL BUA GAN DUA | 18% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 14:25 | HICKORY LAD | 26% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 14:25 | INNER CITY BLUES | 24% | ✓ Won |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 15:35 | REBELS ROMANCE | 22% | ✓ Won |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 15:35 | CONVERGENT | 20% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 15:35 | ALMERIC | 19% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 15:35 | ARABIAN CROWN | 18% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 14:25 | ADAAY OF SCARLETT | 29% | — |
| 08 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:50 | DREAMKEEPER | 6% | — |
| 08 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:50 | FLORESTA | 14% | ✓ Won |
| 08 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:50 | PERFECT YOUR CRAFT | 13% | — |
| 08 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:50 | NUIT | 7% | — |
| 08 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:50 | ICE DANCER | 3% | — |
| 08 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:50 | GALILEO DAME | 5% | — |
| 08 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:50 | BLOOM | 5% | — |
| 08 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:50 | JANNAH STAR | 4% | — |
| 08 Jul | Fairyhouse 18:50 | GOODIE TWO SHOES | 28% | — |
| 04 Jul | Sandown 15:35 | CONSTITUTION RIVER | 20% | ✓ Won |
| 04 Jul | Sandown 15:35 | HAWK MOUNTAIN | 17% | — |
| 04 Jul | Sandown 15:35 | KINGS GAMBIT | 11% | — |
| 04 Jul | Sandown 15:35 | A BOY NAMED SUSIE | 13% | — |
| 04 Jul | Sandown 15:35 | FLUSHING MEADOWS | 8% | — |
| 04 Jul | Sandown 15:35 | GETHIN | 10% | — |
| 04 Jul | Sandown 15:35 | SADDADD | 9% | — |
| 02 Jul | Limerick 17:20 | KING OF KINGSFIELD | 10% | — |
| 02 Jul | Limerick 17:20 | QUEENOFTHELODGE | 13% | — |
| 02 Jul | Limerick 17:20 | RUN FOR OSCAR | 15% | ✓ Won |
| 02 Jul | Limerick 17:20 | BOWENSONFIRE | 18% | — |
| 02 Jul | Limerick 17:20 | DADDY LONG LEGS | 24% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 15:20 | GERYON | 17% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 15:20 | PURVIEW | 32% | ✓ Won |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 15:20 | ISAAC NEWTON | 28% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 15:20 | HOTAZHELL | 22% | — |
Listed — the races behind the number
Every runner's predicted chance and how it finished — the 200 most recent of 208. Across all 208: predicted 13.2%, actual 12.5%.
| Date | Race | Horse | Model chance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 16:00 | MODEL YUKO | 9% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 16:00 | CERULEAN BAY | 10% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 16:00 | MOSTAR DREAMS | 14% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 16:00 | CRYSTAL FLYER | 16% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 16:00 | POINT LYNAS | 19% | — |
| 26 Jul | Pontefract 16:00 | HOLLOWAY BOY | 31% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:22 | CAMINO VINO | 6% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:22 | SAGA GAGA | 11% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:22 | VAUNTINGLY | 13% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:22 | NIL BUA GAN DUA | 16% | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:22 | BELIEVED | 22% | — |
| 25 Jul | Gowran Park 15:22 | AMADEUS MOZART | 25% | — |
| 24 Jul | York 19:50 | QILIN QUEEN | 13% | — |
| 24 Jul | York 19:50 | DIAMOND RAIN | 33% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jul | York 19:50 | ESTISSA | 20% | — |
| 24 Jul | York 19:50 | ON MESSAGE | 11% | — |
| 24 Jul | York 19:50 | REGAL CHARM | 9% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | SOUL LOVE | 10% | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul | Naas 18:30 | SHIMMERING SUN | 17% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 18:30 | CONCORDE LANDED | 16% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 18:30 | TROPICAL CROWN | 14% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 18:30 | BACK TO THE LODGE | 12% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 18:30 | APRIL MIST | 10% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 18:30 | EASTERN QUEEN | 7% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 18:30 | BELLE OF THE BALL | 6% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 18:30 | BIG NEGOTIATOR | 5% | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul | Naas 18:30 | SHESTHEDEVIL | 4% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | COCONUT COVE | 17% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | XERLING | 11% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | YELLOWSTONE LAKE | 9% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | LITTLE QUEENIE | 0% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | CHANTEZ | 7% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | DANCING SAXON | 7% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | TAHCAWIN | 6% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | OH CECELIA | 5% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | LIKEDBYMIKE | 5% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | SARAHMAE | 4% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | FOCACCIA | 4% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | TEMPERANCE | 3% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | TREASURE ROSE | 1% | — |
| 22 Jul | Naas 19:00 | FREGADA | 9% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newmarket July 15:05 | ORIONIS | 11% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newmarket July 15:05 | REVOIR | 30% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newmarket July 15:05 | TRIBAL QUEEN | 20% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newmarket July 15:05 | K SARRA | 16% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newmarket July 15:05 | FASHIONS FANCY | 13% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newmarket July 15:05 | LITTLE DORRIT | 8% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newmarket July 15:05 | CLUB CLASS | 9% | — |
| 18 Jul | Newmarket July 15:05 | BRIELLE | 7% | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul | Newmarket July 15:05 | NAGA | 6% | — |
| 17 Jul | Hamilton 19:50 | PLAID | 13% | — |
| 17 Jul | Hamilton 19:50 | MR COLONEL | 9% | — |
| 17 Jul | Hamilton 19:50 | FLAWLESS FUSION | 11% | — |
| 17 Jul | Newbury 16:10 | SALE SHARK | 16% | — |
| 17 Jul | Hamilton 19:50 | FOLK PAGEANT | 15% | — |
| 17 Jul | Hamilton 19:50 | PRIZELAND | 23% | — |
| 17 Jul | Hamilton 19:50 | SUPERIOR CHOICE | 26% | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul | Newbury 16:10 | NABATI | 27% | — |
| 17 Jul | Newbury 16:10 | SEVERN COUNCILS | 3% | — |
| 17 Jul | Newbury 16:10 | SOCIAL SYMBOL | 13% | — |
| 17 Jul | Newbury 16:10 | GOD GIVEN TALENT | 9% | — |
| 17 Jul | Newbury 16:10 | KAMAAL | 7% | — |
| 17 Jul | Newbury 16:10 | AGAMEMNON | 5% | — |
| 17 Jul | Newbury 16:10 | A BEAR AFFAIR | 4% | — |
| 17 Jul | Newbury 16:10 | UNDERDOG | 3% | — |
| 17 Jul | Newbury 16:10 | ARAPAHO GOLD | 10% | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul | Killarney 19:00 | MERIDEN | 9% | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul | Killarney 19:00 | GREEN CARRERA | 24% | — |
| 15 Jul | Killarney 19:00 | DROP DEAD GORGEOUS | 18% | — |
| 15 Jul | Killarney 19:00 | PIVOTAL ATTACK | 16% | — |
| 15 Jul | Killarney 19:00 | SINMARA | 10% | — |
| 15 Jul | Killarney 19:00 | DONNA TIME | 14% | — |
| 15 Jul | Killarney 19:00 | QUIET MUTINY | 8% | — |
| 15 Jul | Killarney 19:00 | SKY WATCH | 5% | — |
| 15 Jul | Killarney 19:00 | SPINNING AROUND | 4% | — |
| 15 Jul | Killarney 19:00 | WILD BESSIE | 4% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 15:12 | STARLUST | 15% | — |
| 11 Jul | Chester 15:52 | WITNESS STAND | 16% | — |
| 11 Jul | Chester 15:52 | MYAL | 14% | — |
| 11 Jul | Chester 15:52 | FIVE WAYS | 13% | — |
| 11 Jul | Chester 15:52 | DASH OF AZURE | 11% | — |
| 11 Jul | Chester 15:52 | HOLGUIN | 18% | — |
| 11 Jul | Chester 15:52 | ROMAN DRAGON | 9% | — |
| 11 Jul | Chester 15:52 | TIBER FLOW | 8% | — |
| 11 Jul | Chester 15:52 | PALMAR BAY | 6% | — |
| 11 Jul | Chester 15:52 | NORTHERN CHAMPION | 5% | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul | York 15:12 | AMERICAN AFFAIR | 17% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 15:12 | AZURE ANGEL | 4% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 15:12 | JM JUNGLE | 13% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 15:12 | WASHINGTON HEIGHTS | 11% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 15:12 | REDORANGE | 9% | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul | York 15:12 | ASPECT ISLAND | 8% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 15:12 | DICKENSIAN | 6% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 15:12 | HEAVENLY HEATHER | 5% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 15:12 | MISS ATTITUDE | 3% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 15:12 | REVIVAL POWER | 2% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 15:12 | NAANAS SHADOW | 2% | — |
| 11 Jul | York 15:12 | MILITARY CODE | 2% | — |
| 10 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:32 | PRIDE OF PLACE | 7% | — |
| 10 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:32 | OLYMPIC MAN | 4% | — |
| 10 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:32 | SHANBALLY KID | 5% | — |
| 10 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:32 | AMIRITE | 6% | — |
| 10 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:32 | PERCEVAL LEGALLOIS | 6% | — |
| 10 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:32 | UNCLE PAT | 11% | — |
| 10 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:32 | SOLITARY MAN | 13% | ✓ Won |
| 10 Jul | Kilbeggan 18:32 | BOSTON ROVER | 12% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 16:45 | LYNEHAM | 10% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 16:45 | CONCLAVE | 11% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 16:45 | SHAYEM | 13% | ✓ Won |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 16:45 | OXAGON | 14% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 16:45 | COLORI FOREVER | 15% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 16:45 | WILD DESERT | 17% | — |
| 09 Jul | Newmarket 16:45 | MORRIS DANCER | 20% | — |
| 07 Jul | Pontefract 14:48 | MOBBERLEY ROSE | 18% | — |
| 07 Jul | Pontefract 14:48 | BRAZILIAN ROSE | 0% | — |
| 07 Jul | Pontefract 14:48 | BELLARCHI | 16% | — |
| 07 Jul | Pontefract 14:48 | CONSECRATED | 16% | — |
| 07 Jul | Pontefract 14:48 | AMERICAN GAL | 0% | — |
| 07 Jul | Pontefract 14:48 | ARISAIG | 0% | — |
| 07 Jul | Pontefract 14:48 | GOLDILOCKS CEN | 0% | — |
| 07 Jul | Pontefract 14:48 | CHESHIRE DANCER | 0% | — |
| 07 Jul | Pontefract 14:48 | CRYSTAL FLYER | 0% | — |
| 07 Jul | Pontefract 14:48 | MOSTAR DREAMS | 0% | — |
| 07 Jul | Pontefract 14:48 | NEVER LET GO | 0% | — |
| 07 Jul | Pontefract 14:48 | RADIANT BEAUTY | 0% | ✓ Won |
| 04 Jul | Naas 15:44 | WO WO NEVER | 18% | — |
| 04 Jul | Beverley 16:02 | AL AASY | 23% | ✓ Won |
| 04 Jul | Beverley 16:02 | BY THE BOOK | 16% | — |
| 04 Jul | Beverley 16:02 | INVOLVEMENT | 13% | — |
| 04 Jul | Beverley 16:02 | PERCYS DAYDREAM | 9% | — |
| 04 Jul | Naas 15:44 | ONE NUMBER | 21% | — |
| 04 Jul | Beverley 16:02 | MISS WONG | 7% | — |
| 04 Jul | Naas 15:44 | FLORIDA BAY | 15% | — |
| 04 Jul | Naas 15:44 | RANTING DUKE | 13% | — |
| 04 Jul | Naas 15:44 | TOSCA NO CANDIS | 10% | — |
| 04 Jul | Naas 15:44 | SARAHS CHOICE | 7% | — |
| 04 Jul | Naas 15:44 | DANCING DESTINY | 6% | ✓ Won |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 15:35 | GLACIUS | 14% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 14:25 | RONSON | 28% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 14:25 | MISS LIZZY | 20% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 14:25 | BILL THE BULL | 17% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 14:25 | A BEAR AFFAIR | 11% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 14:25 | UNDERDOG | 9% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 14:25 | HAVANA FLASH | 6% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 14:25 | IT DUNT MARRA | 5% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 15:35 | PERSICA | 19% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 14:25 | BINT ARCHANGE | 12% | ✓ Won |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 15:35 | ROYAL RHYME | 12% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 15:35 | SALLAAL | 10% | ✓ Won |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 15:35 | DIVIDEND | 8% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 15:35 | BOILING POINT | 7% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 16:10 | LAZY GRIFF | 20% | ✓ Won |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 16:10 | PARADIAS | 17% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 16:10 | FURTHUR | 12% | — |
| 03 Jul | Sandown 16:10 | LADY VIVIAN | 10% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 14:10 | BIG GOSSEY | 24% | ✓ Won |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 14:10 | BODHI BEAR | 11% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 14:10 | CALIFORNIA DREAMER | 23% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 14:10 | OH CECELIA | 21% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 14:10 | LITTLE QUEENIE | 18% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 14:10 | FREGADA | 16% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 14:10 | TAHCAWIN | 14% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 14:10 | TANGO FLARE | 13% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 15:55 | SPICY MARGARITA | 19% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 14:10 | TEMPERANCE | 10% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 15:55 | ALCANTOR | 28% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 15:55 | COWARDOFTHECOUNTY | 25% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 15:55 | DUCKADILLY | 21% | — |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 15:55 | ZODIAC BEAR | 20% | ✓ Won |
| 28 Jun | Curragh 15:55 | TOKENOMICS | 35% | — |
| 27 Jun | Chester 15:33 | DASH OF AZURE | 19% | — |
| 27 Jun | Chester 15:33 | COPACABANA SANDS | 29% | — |
| 27 Jun | Chester 15:33 | MAGIC BASMA | 23% | — |
| 27 Jun | Chester 15:33 | CIRCE | 22% | — |
| 27 Jun | Chester 15:33 | BRAZILIAN ROSE | 12% | — |
| 27 Jun | Chester 15:33 | BELLARCHI | 16% | ✓ Won |
| 27 Jun | Chester 15:33 | ROYALTY BAY | 12% | — |
| 24 Jun | Carlisle 16:02 | GOLDEN PALACE | 33% | — |
| 24 Jun | Carlisle 16:02 | ALBAYDAA | 23% | — |
| 24 Jun | Carlisle 16:02 | CLASSIC CUVEE | 18% | — |
| 24 Jun | Carlisle 16:02 | JUST A GIRL | 16% | — |
| 24 Jun | Carlisle 16:02 | ELLUSIVE BUTTERFLY | 16% | ✓ Won |
| 24 Jun | Carlisle 16:02 | FIGJAM | 14% | — |
| 24 Jun | Carlisle 16:02 | STIMULATIVE TRIP | 12% | — |
| 24 Jun | Carlisle 16:02 | ASSARANCA | 11% | — |
| 24 Jun | Carlisle 16:02 | APPLESANDPEARS | 14% | — |
| 14 Jun | Cork 15:38 | OH CECELIA | 15% | — |
| 14 Jun | Cork 15:38 | BILLIE BE QUICK | 25% | — |
| 14 Jun | Cork 15:38 | ECLAIRAGE | 16% | — |
| 14 Jun | Cork 15:38 | FREGADA | 19% | — |
| 14 Jun | Cork 15:38 | LIKEDBYMIKE | 14% | — |
| 14 Jun | Cork 15:38 | EROSANDPSYCHE | 14% | — |
| 14 Jun | Cork 15:38 | KENDALL ROY | 14% | ✓ Won |
| 14 Jun | Cork 15:38 | KEKE | 11% | — |
| 13 Jun | Sandown 14:42 | WORDS OF TRUTH | 15% | ✓ Won |
| 13 Jun | Sandown 14:42 | PALMEIRA | 19% | — |
| 13 Jun | Sandown 14:42 | LADY YOUMZAIN | 17% | — |
| 13 Jun | Sandown 14:42 | MILITARY CODE | 19% | — |
| 13 Jun | Sandown 14:42 | MANATEE MEHMAS | 14% | — |
| 13 Jun | Sandown 14:42 | POATAN | 13% | — |
Why we show you this
Most racing products show you their winners. We show you how accurate our numbers are — including where they're not perfect.
A well-calibrated probability is the foundation of finding value. If the model says a horse has a 25% chance and the market is offering odds that imply 15%, that gap is only meaningful if the 25% is real. This page is our evidence that it is — updated continuously from settled results.
If the numbers ever drift, you'll see it here first. That's the deal.