Brighton 2:56: — Value Analysis
Sunday 21 June 2026 · result below
Model's most likely
POWER OF PRAYER
24% model chance · market 25%
No standout value here — the model and market broadly agree on the prices.
Why the model rates POWER OF PRAYER top (24% chance)
- ✓ Form on an upward curve over its last few starts
- ✓ Ran above expectations last time — can build on it
- ✕ Stepping up in class on its last winning level
Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
POWER OF PRAYER
★ Top Rated
|
24% |
25% |
4.0
|
-5% | 7th |
| 2 |
SARANGPUR
|
24% |
25% |
4.0
|
-6% | Winner |
| 3 |
KOKO BLUE
|
15% |
20% |
5.0
|
-25% | 3rd |
| 4 |
GEARINGS POINT
|
11% |
9% |
11.0
|
+23% | 8th |
| 5 |
DOUGLAS DC
|
10% |
11% |
9.0
|
-7% | 5th |
| 6 |
NIGHT BEAR
|
10% |
12% |
8.0
|
-23% | 4th |
| 7 |
SUITCASE SMITH
|
8% |
6% |
17.0
|
+42% | 6th |
| 8 |
AMBER HONEY
|
7% |
5% |
19.0
|
+42% | 9th |
| 9 |
LA TRINITE
|
6% |
3% |
29.0
|
+86% | 2nd |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →
EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org