Bangorondee 17:12 — Value Analysis
Tuesday 8 September 2026
Model's most likely
CAPTAIN COOL
53% model chance · market 33%
★ Best value
CAPTAIN COOL
model 53% vs market 33% · +59%
Why the model rates CAPTAIN COOL top (53% chance)
- ✓ Sean Quinlan riding well, 20% strike rate in the fortnight
- ✓ Strong record against this class of rival
- ✓ Ideally fresh - 19 days since its last run
- ✕ Yet to be tested against much
- ✕ The good is a question mark for it
Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
CAPTAIN COOL
★ Top Rated
3.0
·market 33%
|
53% |
33% |
3.0
|
+59% | |
| 2 |
KRAK
2.6
·market 38%
|
25% |
38% |
2.6
|
-33% | |
| 3 |
ROADLESSTRAVELLED
3.2
·market 31%
|
12% |
31% |
3.2
|
-61% | |
| 4 |
ICE IN THE VEINS
11.0
·market 9%
|
10% |
9% |
11.0
|
+15% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →
That is one of 37 races today.
You can read 4 of them free. A trial opens the other 33 the same way, and every UK and Irish race tomorrow and after, for only £14.99 a month as a founder member, locked for life, against £24.99 a month once the founder places go. Seven days free, nothing charged today.
Founder pricing is locked for life, including when it goes up for everyone joining after you.
Continue with Google
or use your email
Free account first, no card needed · see pricing · already a member? Sign in
EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org