Yarmouth 16:17: Value Analysis
Thurlow Nunn Standen Groundcare Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Tuesday 15 September 2026
- ✓ Dropped in class since last time
- ✓ Bang on trip for it at 1m2f
- ✓ Well treated on official ratings
- ✕ Little to like about its run two runs back
- ✕ Yet to be tested against much
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
HAMLETS NIGHT
★ Top Rated
5.5
·market 18%
|
40% |
18% |
5.5
▲ Edge increasing
|
+118% | |
| 2 |
DUE TO HENRY
6.0
·market 17%
|
21% |
17% |
6.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+24% | |
| 3 |
PERCIVAL
3.0
·market 33%
|
13% |
33% |
3.0
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-62% | |
| 4 |
ECHALAR
6.5
·market 15%
|
9% |
15% |
6.5
|
-43% | |
| 5 |
MYTHICAL GUEST
8.5
·market 12%
|
8% |
12% |
8.5
|
-31% | |
| 6 |
KOKANEE
7.0
·market 14%
|
8% |
14% |
7.0
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-45% | |
| , |
PRINCESS RASCAL
NR
15.0
·market 7%
|
7% |
7% |
15.0
|
+6% | Withdrawn |
| 7 |
ARTHURS REALM
19.0
·market 5%
|
6% |
5% |
19.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+6% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org