Catterick 12:40: Value Analysis
Racing To School EBF Maiden Stakes
Tuesday 27 October 2026
What the abbreviations mean
Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.
We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)
Ticks most boxes: solid over its last three runs, holds a strong record against this class and meets Classyfied 6lb better off, ran 29 days ago so arrives fresh. Smart's yard is out of sorts, 7% in the fortnight.
- ✓ Preferred to Classyfied, 6lb better in at the weights
- ✓ Strong record against this class of rival
- ✓ Ran well over its last three runs
- ✕ Bryan Smart's yard quiet lately, 7% in the fortnight
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Typical odds | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
CYBERSPACE
★ Top Rated
11/10
·market 48%
|
32% |
48% |
11/10
▲ Edge increasing
|
-34% | |
| 2 |
CLASSYFIED
7/2
·market 22%
|
16% |
22% |
7/2
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-28% | |
| 3 |
KUMHARAS
14/1
·market 7%
|
13% |
7% |
14/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+97% | |
| 4 |
MUVE ON
2/1
·market 33%
|
12% |
33% |
2/1
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-63% | |
| 5 |
HARRY AKOYA
80/1
·market 1%
|
8% |
1% |
80/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+553%market disagrees | |
| 6 |
VALENTINA BONITA
14/1
·market 7%
|
6% |
7% |
14/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
-15% | |
| 7 |
KALAHARI FLAME
25/1
·market 4%
|
6% |
4% |
25/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+44% | |
| , |
RUNAWAY LUCY
NR
—
·market —
|
— |
— |
—
|
— | Withdrawn |
| 8 |
MAGNANIMOUS GRECIA
100/1
·market 1%
|
4% |
1% |
100/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+338%market disagrees | |
| 9 |
THE STONY BAKER
80/1
·market 1%
|
3% |
1% |
80/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+168% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org