Huntingdon 14:36: Value Analysis
Host Your Conference At Huntingdon Racecourse Handicap Hurdle Race
Wednesday 28 October 2026 · result below
What the abbreviations mean
Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.
We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)
This race is complete. Explore the latest card next.
See today's races →Seraphic (9/4) was always in the right spot and quickened clear, winning comfortably, by 3½ lengths. Gallivanted (5/2) filled second. Our model's top pick Gallivanted (21%) finished 2nd.
Down in grade from a field rated 120 and nicely in at the weights, he has thirds two and three starts back; the trip is a query and Derham's yard is out of sorts at 6% in the fortnight.
- ✓ Strong record against this class of rival
- ✓ Well treated on official ratings
- ✓ Nicely in at the weights
- ✕ Trip is a question mark
- ✕ Harry Derham's yard quiet lately, 6% in the fortnight
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Typical odds | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
GALLIVANTED
★ Top Rated
5/2
·market 29%
|
21% |
29% |
5/2
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-27% | 2nd |
| 2 |
ZAFAAN
10/1
·market 9%
|
20% |
9% |
10/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+121% | , |
| 3 |
SERAPHIC
5/2
·market 29%
|
13% |
29% |
5/2
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-55% | Winner |
| 4 |
FINAL SURPRISE
8/1
·market 11%
|
11% |
11% |
8/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+0% | 4th |
| 5 |
CAELAN
5/1
·market 17%
|
10% |
17% |
5/1
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-42% | 3rd |
| 6 |
AL MOOTAMARID
7/1
·market 12%
|
9% |
12% |
7/1
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-26% | 5th |
| 7 |
TAKEIT EASY
22/1
·market 4%
|
8% |
4% |
22/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+87% | 7th |
| 8 |
BLACKWATER LILLY
12/1
·market 8%
|
8% |
8% |
12/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+3% | 6th |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org