Huntingdon 15:36: Value Analysis
Christmas Parties 2026 At Huntingdon Racecourse Handicap Steeple Chase
Wednesday 28 October 2026 · result below
What the abbreviations mean
Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.
We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)
This race is complete. Explore the latest card next.
See today's races →Nazare (7/1) came from off the pace to lead late, winning by 1¼ lengths. Scavengers Reign (3/1) filled second.
- ✓ Preferred to Clap Of Thunder, a proven winner at this class
- ✓ Strong record against this class of rival
- ✓ Gavin Sheehan riding well, 20% strike rate in the fortnight
- ✕ Carries plenty of weight today
- ✕ First run for 209 days, so fitness is a question
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Typical odds | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ITS TOP
★ Top Rated
11/4
·market 27%
|
20% |
27% |
11/4
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-25% | , |
| 2 |
CLAP OF THUNDER
10/3
·market 23%
|
15% |
23% |
10/3
|
-36% | 4th |
| 3 |
SCAVENGERS REIGN
4/1
·market 20%
|
13% |
20% |
4/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
-36% | 2nd |
| 4 |
CUBAN COURT
16/1
·market 6%
|
12% |
6% |
16/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+96% | 3rd |
| 5 |
NAZARE
7/1
·market 12%
|
11% |
12% |
7/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
-13% | Winner |
| 6 |
KRAK
18/1
·market 5%
|
10% |
5% |
18/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+82% | 5th |
| 7 |
FIGHTING FALCON
11/2
·market 15%
|
9% |
15% |
11/2
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-43% | , |
| 8 |
LEGAL WEAPON
8/1
·market 11%
|
9% |
11% |
8/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
-19% | , |
| 9 |
SOPRAN THOR
100/1
·market 1%
|
3% |
1% |
100/1
|
+230% | , |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org