Newmarket 14:55: Value Analysis

Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-preis Handicap Stakes

Friday 30 October 2026 · result below

Other Handicap GTS 8f Class 5 15 runners

What the abbreviations mean

Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.

We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)

Result: Devil's Brigade won (SP 15/2)

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Our highest-rated BERRY CLEVER Our price 9/2 · Available 4/1 We make it 19% · the market says 20%

No standout value here. No runner is rated above its current price.

How the race unfolded

Devil's Brigade (15/2) made every yard of the running, winning by a head. Be Frank (11/2) filled second. Our model's top pick Berry Clever (19%) finished 3rd.

Why the model rates BERRY CLEVER top (19% chance)

Solid claims across the board: today's ground suits, he comes in fresh after 21 days, Chris Dwyer is at 21% with handicappers, and he is preferred to You Sexy Thing on this surface. Weight is the one snag.

✓ Preferred to You Sexy Thing, better on the ground
✓ Chris Dwyer sharp with handicappers, 21% recently
✓ Ideally fresh, 21 days since its last run
✕ Carries plenty of weight today
✕ Yet to be tested against much

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Typical odds	Value
1	BERRY CLEVER ★ Top Rated J: Harry Davies · T: Chris Dwyer Form: 44411 · CD 4/1 ·market 20%	19%	20%	4/1 ▲ Edge increasing	-6%	3rd
2	YOU SEXY THING J: George Wood · T: Richard Spencer Form: 06445 8/1 ·market 11%	12%	11%	8/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+15%	14th
3	DEVILS BRIGADE J: Rowan Scott · T: Ed Dunlop Form: 53221 · D 9/1 ·market 10%	9%	10%	9/1 ▼ Edge decreasing	-6%	Winner
4	ENSOR MEWS J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett Form: 539 14/1 ·market 7%	9%	7%	14/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+39%	7th
5	SAIL ON SAILOR J: Paddy Bradley · T: Simon Dow Form: 15671 · D 9/1 ·market 10%	7%	10%	9/1 ▲ Edge increasing	-29%	10th
6	PHONE TAG J: Oliver Stammers · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost Form: 01206 · CD 11/1 ·market 8%	7%	8%	11/1 ▲ Edge increasing	-20%	5th
7	BE FRANK J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Ian Williams Form: 64504 · C 7/1 ·market 12%	7%	12%	7/1 ▼ Edge decreasing	-47%	2nd
8	BORN A REBEL J: Clifford Lee · T: Patrick Owens Form: 32308 · D 14/1 ·market 7%	7%	7%	14/1 ▲ Edge increasing	-1%	4th
9	GUILTY VERDICT J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Jim Boyle Form: 43992 6/1 ·market 14%	5%	14%	6/1	-64%	6th
10	DARING LEGEND J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Mark Pattinson Form: 05027 · C 40/1 ·market 2%	4%	2%	40/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+54%	13th
11	BARLEY J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby Form: 40136 · D 16/1 ·market 6%	4%	6%	16/1 ▼ Edge decreasing	-38%	12th
12	MARSH BENHAM J: Jack Callan · T: George Baker Form: 17539 · D 9/1 ·market 10%	3%	10%	9/1 ▼ Edge decreasing	-66%	9th
13	ZERMATT STAR J: David Nolan · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood Form: 40126 · D 12/1 ·market 8%	3%	8%	12/1	-61%	11th
14	PLAY ME J: Donagh Murphy(5) · T: Jim Boyle Form: 14388 · D 28/1 ·market 3%	3%	3%	28/1 ▲ Edge increasing	-17%	15th
15	PINTS IN PEACE J: Finley Marsh · T: Jim & Suzi Best Form: 65699 80/1 ·market 1%	2%	1%	80/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+44%	8th

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org