Wetherby 13:20: Value Analysis

Bet365 'chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase

Friday 30 October 2026

Other Chase GD 19½f Class 3 2 runners

What the abbreviations mean

Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.

We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)

Our highest-rated LE BEAU MADRIK Our price 3/10 · Available 1/5 We make it 76% · the market says 85%

★ Best value FLORIDA DREAMS Our price 10/3 · Available 7/2 We make it 24% · the market says 22% · +6%

Why the model rates LE BEAU MADRIK top (76% chance)

Clearly preferred to Florida Dreams and 17lb better in at the weights, he has won 60% of his last five, eases in grade and goes well against this class; the ninth when he ran 21 days ago is forgivable.

✓ Preferred to Florida Dreams, 17lb better in at the weights
✓ Strong record against this class of rival
✓ Won 60% of its last five
✕ Official mark among the lowest in the race

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Typical odds	Value
1	LE BEAU MADRIK ★ Top Rated J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton Form: 11P19 1/5 ·market 85%	76%	85%	1/5	-11%
2	FLORIDA DREAMS J: Brian Hughes · T: Sandy Thomson Form: 53584 7/2 ·market 22%	24%	22%	7/2 ▲ Edge increasing	+6%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

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See all of today's value flags → Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org