Wolverhampton 17:00: Value Analysis
All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Monday 2 November 2026 · result below
What the abbreviations mean
Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.
We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)
This race is complete. Explore the latest card next.
See today's races →Enricher sprang a 11/1 surprise, winning by 2 lengths. Reciprocated (9/2) chased him home. Two Commanders, the 2/1 favourite, could manage only 5th. Our model's top pick Two Commanders (26%) finished 5th.
Strong record against this class, a handy mark and Billy Loughnane striking at 17% in the fortnight add up to the most convincing case here, even if the standard is unproven and it ran 52 days ago.
- ✓ Strong record against this class of rival
- ✓ Billy Loughnane riding well, 17% strike rate in the fortnight
- ✓ Well treated on official ratings
- ✕ The standard is a question mark for it
- ✕ Yet to be tested against much
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Typical odds | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
TWO COMMANDERS
★ Top Rated
2/1
·market 33%
|
34% |
33% |
2/1
▼ Edge decreasing
|
+1% | 5th |
| 2 |
MONTEZIN
11/4
·market 27%
|
23% |
27% |
11/4
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-15% | 6th |
| , |
CHANTELLE
NR
—
·market —
|
— |
— |
—
|
— | Withdrawn |
| 3 |
COMMANDER OF LIFE
8/1
·market 11%
|
11% |
11% |
8/1
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-3% | 3rd |
| 4 |
ENRICHER
11/1
·market 8%
|
9% |
8% |
11/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+5% | Winner |
| 5 |
DISTILLATION
8/1
·market 11%
|
9% |
11% |
8/1
|
-18% | 4th |
| 6 |
RECIPROCATED
9/2
·market 18%
|
8% |
18% |
9/2
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-54% | 2nd |
| 7 |
THE DRAGON KING
28/1
·market 3%
|
7% |
3% |
28/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+99% | 7th |
| , |
WARM SPELL
NR
—
·market —
|
— |
— |
—
|
— | Withdrawn |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org