Sedgefield 14:00 — Value Analysis

Racing Again 14th September Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

Wednesday 9 September 2026

Maiden GD 21.0f Class 4 5 runners
Model's most likely WAY MAKER 52% model chance · market 54%
No standout value here — the model and market broadly agree on the prices.
Why the model rates WAY MAKER top (52% chance)
  • ✓ James Bowen riding well, 21% strike rate in the fortnight
  • ✓ James Bowen and Mickey Bowen win 14% together
  • ✓ Ran well last time, finished 2nd
  • ✕ Yet to be tested against much
  • ✕ Trip is a question mark

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
WAY MAKER ★ Top Rated
J: James Bowen · T: Mickey Bowen
1.8 ·market 54%
52%
54%
1.8
 -5%
2
DATSTHEHOLYALLOFIT
J: Brian Hughes · T: Patrick Neville
2.9 ·market 35%
23%
35%
2.9
 -34%
3
EARNEST BELIEF
J: Theo Gillard · T: Donald McCain
3.5 ·market 29%
15%
29%
3.5
 -49%
4
ROCK ARMOUR
J: Joshua Thompson(5) · T: David Thompson
81.0 ·market 1%
10%
1%
81.0
 +682%market disagrees
5
OCEAN ROSE
J: Callum Pritchard · T: Barry John Murphy
41.0 ·market 2%
8%
2%
41.0
 +228%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org