Sandown 13:08 — Value Analysis
Friday 12 June 2026 · result below
⚠ Vulnerable favourite: MYSTERIOUS TIMES is the market favourite (2.4) but the model rates it only 17% vs the market's 42% — it may be beatable.
- ✓ Fresh — an ideal gap since its last run
Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
VIKING BARBIE
★ Top Rated
|
31% |
15% |
6.5
▲ Edge increasing
|
+100% | |
| 2 |
HAVANA GREY STAR
|
21% |
10% |
10.0
▼ Edge decreasing
|
+112% | |
| 3 |
PERIGORD NOIR
|
20% |
9% |
11.0
▼ Edge decreasing
|
+122% | |
| 4 |
MYSTERIOUS TIMES
|
17% |
42% |
2.4
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-60% | |
| — |
GOLD REEF CITY
NR
|
12% |
— |
—
|
— | Withdrawn |
| 5 |
PRINCESS IVY
|
12% |
5% |
21.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+147% | |
| 6 |
UNDERDOG
|
12% |
13% |
7.5
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-12% | |
| 7 |
HENLEY ON THAMES
|
10% |
18% |
5.5
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-45% | |
| 8 |
COURSEYOUDO
|
9% |
1% |
91.0
▼ Edge decreasing
|
⚠ market disagrees | |
| 9 |
IGROK
|
7% |
4% |
26.0
▼ Edge decreasing
|
+86% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →
EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org