Bath 13:20 — Value Analysis

Saturday 13 June 2026 · result below

Other Handicap GTS 17.0f Class 6 9 runners

🏁 Result: Sapphire Sirocco won (SP 5.5)

Model's most likely EVEREST 33% model chance · market 33%

No standout value here — the model and market broadly agree on the prices.

Why the model rates EVEREST top (33% chance)

✓ Form on an upward curve over its last few starts
✓ Ran above expectations last time — can build on it
✓ Fresh — an ideal gap since its last run

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Avg Price	Value
1	EVEREST ★ Top Rated J: Jude Fernandes(7) · T: Gary & Josh Moore	33%	33%	3.0	-1%	2nd
2	SAPPHIRE SIROCCO J: Mason Paetel(3) · T: Barry John Murphy	23%	22%	4.5 ▲ Edge increasing	+3%	Winner
3	CORSICAN CAPER J: Jack Callan · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost	14%	33%	3.0 ▼ Edge decreasing	-57%	3rd
4	THE CRAFTYMASTER J: Myla Coppins(5) · T: Tony Carroll	10%	11%	9.5 ▲ Edge increasing	-3%	5th
5	MAN OF THE SEA J: Taylor Fisher · T: Neil Mulholland	9%	9%	11.0	+3%	4th
6	NORA BARNACLE J: Taryn Langley(3) · T: Dominic Ffrench Davis	9%	3%	34.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+216%	6th
7	LAMLASH J: Matthew Lloyd Slater(5) · T: Joe Tickle	8%	1%	81.0 ▲ Edge increasing	⚠ market disagrees	8th
8	MIND HUNTER J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: Bernard Llewellyn	7%	4%	23.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+68%	7th
—	EMPEROR DREAM NR J: Millie Wonnacott(3) · T: Daniel Steele	6%	—	—	—	Withdrawn

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org