Cork 14:07 — Value Analysis

Sunday 14 June 2026 · result below

Maiden GD 6.0f Class 0 15 runners

🏁 Result: Ballinea Star won (SP 8.5)

Model's most likely NEW BOND STREET 20% model chance · market 58%

No standout value here — the model and market broadly agree on the prices.

Why the model rates NEW BOND STREET top (20% chance)

✓ No single factor stands out — a close call on the model's figures

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Avg Price	Value
1	NEW BOND STREET ★ Top Rated J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey	20%	58%	1.7 ▼ Edge decreasing	-66%	5th
2	CARAFINN J: Ronan Whelan · T: Henry De Bromhead	18%	8%	12.0 ▼ Edge decreasing	+111%	4th
3	FINE LINE J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan	13%	1%	101.0 ▲ Edge increasing	⚠ market disagrees	12th
4	SAOIRSE SILK J: Chris Hayes · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	13%	8%	12.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+58%	7th
5	BACK TO THE LODGE J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin	13%	5%	21.0 ▼ Edge decreasing	+166%	11th
6	ARGENTARIUS J: Declan McDonogh · T: Daniel James Murphy	12%	17%	6.0 ▲ Edge increasing	-30%	2nd
7	OCEAN SURGE J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: W McCreery	11%	7%	14.0 ▼ Edge decreasing	+56%	8th
8	BALLINEA STAR J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar	11%	12%	8.0 ▼ Edge decreasing	-12%	Winner
—	MADAM SECRETARY NR J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: A P O'Brien	9%	23%	4.3	-61%	Withdrawn
9	SCANDI NOIR J: Nathan Crosse · T: Mrs John Harrington	8%	3%	29.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+131%	3rd
10	THATSANOTHERSTORY J: Gary Carroll · T: A Oliver	8%	1%	101.0 ▲ Edge increasing	⚠ market disagrees	6th
11	SHAFTERS LEGACY J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery	6%	3%	34.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+99%	13th
12	SAPPHIRE PETAL J: James Ryan · T: Jack W Davison	5%	3%	34.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+82%	14th
13	SIEGE OF TYRE J: Rory Cleary · T: Kieran P Cotter	4%	1%	151.0 ▲ Edge increasing	⚠ market disagrees	10th
14	DROPPING DIMES J: Neve Bennett(7) · T: Jarlath P Fahey	4%	0%	301.0 ▲ Edge increasing	⚠ market disagrees	9th

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org