Wetherby 1:30: — Value Analysis

Monday 15 June 2026 · result below

Maiden GTF 7.0f Class 3 7 runners
Model's most likely WISE AND WONDERFUL 34% model chance · market 29%
★ Best value MARCH LILLY model 17% vs market 11% · +49%

Vulnerable favourite: STARLIGHT MIRAGE is the market favourite (1.6) but the model rates it only 25% vs the market's 62% — it may be beatable.

Why the model rates WISE AND WONDERFUL top (34% chance)
  • ✓ Fresh — an ideal gap since its last run

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance
Market
Implies
Avg Price Value
1
WISE AND WONDERFUL ★ Top Rated
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding
34%
29%
3.5
+17% 2nd
2
STARLIGHT MIRAGE
J: Clifford Lee · T: K R Burke
25%
62%
1.6
-59% Winner
4
LIKIRA ROSE
J: P J McDonald · T: Iain Jardine
16%
3%
34.0
⚠ market disagrees 6th
5
NORTHERN VIOLA
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn
13%
3%
29.0
+287% 5th
6
AURA OF MELANIA
J: Kevin Stott · T: Roger Fell
13%
4%
26.0
+242% 4th
7
LOVEULONGTIME
J: Sam James · T: Geoffrey Harker
13%
1%
67.0
⚠ market disagrees 7th

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org