Wetherby 1:30: — Value Analysis
Monday 15 June 2026 · result below
⚠ Vulnerable favourite: STARLIGHT MIRAGE is the market favourite (1.6) but the model rates it only 25% vs the market's 62% — it may be beatable.
- ✓ Fresh — an ideal gap since its last run
Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
WISE AND WONDERFUL
★ Top Rated
|
34% |
29% |
3.5
|
+17% | 2nd |
| 2 |
STARLIGHT MIRAGE
|
25% |
62% |
1.6
|
-59% | Winner |
| 3 |
MARCH LILLY
|
17% |
11% |
9.0
|
+49% | 3rd |
| 4 |
LIKIRA ROSE
|
16% |
3% |
34.0
|
⚠ market disagrees | 6th |
| 5 |
NORTHERN VIOLA
|
13% |
3% |
29.0
|
+287% | 5th |
| 6 |
AURA OF MELANIA
|
13% |
4% |
26.0
|
+242% | 4th |
| 7 |
LOVEULONGTIME
|
13% |
1% |
67.0
|
⚠ market disagrees | 7th |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →
EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org