Hamilton 2:15: — Value Analysis

Wednesday 17 June 2026 · result below

Other Handicap GTS 9.0f Class 6 6 runners
Model's most likely FAR AHEAD 31% model chance · market 31%
No standout value here — the model and market broadly agree on the prices.
Why the model rates FAR AHEAD top (31% chance)
  • ✓ Form on an upward curve over its last few starts
  • ✓ Ran above expectations last time — can build on it
  • ✓ Fresh — an ideal gap since its last run

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
FAR AHEAD ★ Top Rated
J: Warren Fentiman · T: Richard & Peter Fahey
31%
31%
3.2
 +1% 2nd
2
FALCON NINE
J: Aiden Brookes · T: Iain Jardine
23%
27%
3.8
 -13% 4th
3
ROYAL BLAZE
J: Alex Jary · T: Ewan Whillans
16%
20%
5.0
 -19% 3rd
4
PORT DARWIN
J: Connor Planas · T: Charlie Johnston
15%
20%
5.0
 -27% Winner
5
STORM ON JURA
J: Jake Dickson · T: Jim Goldie
13%
9%
11.0
 +41% 6th
6
BOOK OF LIFE
J: Cian Horgan · T: Patrick Morris
12%
8%
13.0
 +51% 5th

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org