Yarmouth 1:30: — Value Analysis

Thursday 18 June 2026 · result below

Other Handicap GTF 14.0f Class 5 3 runners
Model's most likely LARAVIE 43% model chance · market 80%
★ Best value CAPTAIN BRETT model 20% vs market 15% · +29%
Why the model rates LARAVIE top (43% chance)
  • ✓ Has won at a higher class than today's grade
  • ✓ Ran above expectations last time — can build on it

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
LARAVIE ★ Top Rated
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: James Owen
43%
80%
1.2
 -46% 2nd
2
BETELGEUSE
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: S Woods
24%
11%
9.5
 +131% 3rd
3
CAPTAIN BRETT
J: Marco Ghiani · T: David Simcock
20%
15%
6.5
 +29% Winner

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org