Market Rasen 1:30: — Value Analysis

Friday 19 June 2026 · result below

Maiden GD 23.0f Class 4 7 runners

Model's most likely GETAWAY VIC 37% model chance · market 44%

★ Best value KIWI DE COTTE model 26% vs market 18% · +46%

Why the model rates GETAWAY VIC top (37% chance)

✓ Has won at a higher class than today's grade
✓ Form on an upward curve over its last few starts
✓ Ran above expectations last time — can build on it

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Avg Price	Value
1	GETAWAY VIC ★ Top Rated J: James Bowen · T: Mickey Bowen	37%	44%	2.2	-16%	2nd
2	KIWI DE COTTE J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton	26%	18%	5.5	+46%	Winner
3	ROYAL ROCKET J: Harry Cobden · T: Emma Lavelle	21%	23%	4.3	-7%	7th
4	SAINT ARION J: Jonjo O'Neill Jr · T: Jonjo & A J O'Neill	14%	6%	17.0	+136%	6th
5	PREMIER FANTASY J: Gavin Sheehan · T: Nick Scholfield	12%	18%	5.5	-36%	5th
6	GREY GAMBLE J: Ben Jones · T: Emma Lavelle	10%	1%	81.0	⚠ market disagrees	4th
7	LUNAR MORNING J: David Bass · T: Max Comley	9%	1%	67.0	⚠ market disagrees	3rd

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org