Beverley 14:45 — Value Analysis

Tuesday 23 June 2026 · result below

Other Handicap GTF 7.5f Class 5 7 runners

🏁 Result: Tattie Bogle won (SP 8.5)

Model's most likely THIS FARH 24% model chance · market 29%

★ Best value TATTIE BOGLE model 16% vs market 13% · +22%

Why the model rates THIS FARH top (24% chance)

✓ Ran above expectations last time — can build on it
✓ Fresh — an ideal gap since its last run

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Avg Price	Value
1	THIS FARH ★ Top Rated J: Rowan Scott · T: D Loughnane	24%	29%	3.5	-17%	5th
2	ROARING RALPH J: Rhys Elliott · T: M Dods	20%	25%	4.0	-21%	3rd
3	TATTIE BOGLE J: Jason Hart · T: C Johnston	16%	13%	7.5 ▼ Edge decreasing	+22%	Winner
—	EVOCATIVE SPARK NR J: Ethan Tindall · T: John Riches	13%	—	—	—	Withdrawn
4	MIDSUMMER STORM J: S H James · T: K R Burke	12%	18%	5.5 ▲ Edge increasing	-35%	6th
5	COOLREE J: O J Orr · T: S England	11%	20%	5.0	-47%	2nd
6	SUNNY ORANGE J: D Fentiman · T: T D Easterby	10%	9%	11.0 ▼ Edge decreasing	+7%	4th

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org