Curragh 13:45 — Value Analysis

Saturday 27 June 2026 · result below

Maiden GD 7.0f Class 0 8 runners
🏁 Result: Giant Sequoia won (SP 1.44)
Model's most likely GIANT SEQUOIA 29% model chance · market 65%
★ Best value OKLAHOMA model 22% vs market 15% · +46%
Why the model rates GIANT SEQUOIA top (29% chance)
  • ✓ Fresh — an ideal gap since its last run

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
GIANT SEQUOIA ★ Top Rated
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien
29%
65%
1.5
 -55% Winner
2
OKLAHOMA
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien
22%
15%
6.5
▲ Edge increasing
 +46% 2nd
3
VENETIAN POWER
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
20%
7%
15.0
 +202% 4th
4
SHAKESPEARE
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: A P O'Brien
18%
13%
7.5
 +38% 3rd
5
YELLOW SKY
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh
15%
3%
29.0
▲ Edge increasing
 ⚠ market disagrees 5th
6
BULL SHARK
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar
13%
11%
9.0
 +18% 7th
7
WINNIES WISH
J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell
13%
1%
151.0
▲ Edge increasing
 ⚠ market disagrees 8th
8
DARIVAN
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J P Murtagh
12%
3%
29.0
 +241% 6th

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

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