Sandown 13:50 — Value Analysis

Friday 3 July 2026 · result below

Other Handicap GD 5.0f Class 2 5 runners

🏁 Result: One And Gone won (SP 7.0)

Model's most likely COMICAL POINT 54% model chance · market 38%

★ Best value COMICAL POINT model 54% vs market 38% · +41%

How the race unfolded

One And Gone (6/1) prevailed in a real scrap, winning by a short head. Exclamation (25/1) filled second. Comical Point, the 13/8 favourite, could manage only 4th. Our model's top pick COMICAL POINT (54%) finished 4th.

Why the model rates COMICAL POINT top (54% chance)

✓ Has faced stronger opposition than most of these
✓ Ran well last time - finished 2nd
✕ First run for 32 days - fitness to prove
✕ Tends to finish behind most of its rivals

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Avg Price	Value
1	COMICAL POINT ★ Top Rated J: Ryan Moore · T: Andrew Balding	54%	38%	2.6	+41%	4th
2	WESTPORT J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey	34%	31%	3.2 ▲ Edge increasing	+12%	5th
3	EXCLAMATION J: Rossa Ryan · T: Grace Harris	13%	5%	19.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+153%	2nd
4	HAVANA HURRICANE J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton	13%	25%	4.0	-49%	3rd
5	ONE AND GONE J: Ryan Kavanagh(5) · T: Ian Williams	11%	13%	7.5 ▼ Edge decreasing	-15%	Winner

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org