Uttoxeter 13:30 — Value Analysis
Tuesday 7 July 2026 · result below
Eternal Angel did what the market expected at 2/5, winning in a rout — 18 lengths back to the second. Ride Like A Girl (11/4) chased him home. Our model made him its top pick at 41%.
- ✓ Nicely in at the weights
- ✓ Ran well over its last three runs
- ✓ Consistently beats most of its rivals
- ✕ Ground may not suit
- ✕ Hasn't faced much opposition yet
Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ETERNAL ANGEL
★ Top Rated
|
41% |
62% |
1.6
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-34% | Winner |
| 2 |
RIDE LIKE A GIRL
|
21% |
33% |
3.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-36% | 2nd |
| 3 |
AIMERIC
|
16% |
13% |
7.5
|
+19% | 4th |
| 4 |
AMALFINA
|
0% |
1% |
151.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-85% | 3rd |
| 5 |
ARCON
|
0% |
4% |
23.0
|
-98% | 6th |
| 6 |
DANCINGONDIAMONDS
|
0% |
3% |
34.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-97% | — |
| 7 |
HAPPY HARRISON
|
0% |
1% |
151.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-85% | 9th |
| 8 |
MYSTIC WIND
|
0% |
1% |
67.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-93% | 7th |
| 9 |
PEARL KNOT
|
0% |
1% |
126.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-87% | 5th |
| 10 |
ROSE WARRIOR
|
0% |
1% |
81.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-92% | 8th |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →
EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org