Catterick 14:00 — Value Analysis

Wednesday 8 July 2026 · result below

Other Handicap GTF 7.0f Class 6 9 runners
🏁 Result: Classy Clarets won (SP 5.0)
Model's most likely FILEY BEACH 35% model chance · market 31%
★ Best value FILEY BEACH model 35% vs market 31% · +14%
How the race unfolded

Classy Clarets (4/1) controlled this from the front, winning comfortably, by 3 lengths. Indy's Angel (12/1) chased him home. The exchange briefly made Indy's Angel the likely winner mid-race (matched at 4.60 from 16.5 pre-off) before he was pegged back — one for the notebook. Our model's top pick FILEY BEACH (35%) finished 7th.

Why the model rates FILEY BEACH top (35% chance)
  • ✓ Ran well three runs back
  • ✓ Consistently beats most of its rivals
  • ✓ Officially rated among the best here
  • ✕ Hasn't faced much opposition yet
  • ✕ Carries plenty of weight today

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
FILEY BEACH ★ Top Rated
J: Taryn Langley(3) · T: Ruth Carr
35%
31%
3.2
▲ Edge increasing
 +14% 7th
2
CLASSY CLARETS
J: Jack Nicholls · T: Iain Jardine
16%
20%
5.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -20% Winner
3
COCONUT BAY
J: Rhys Elliott(3) · T: Tristan Davidson
15%
17%
6.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -11% 3rd
4
SAISONS DOR
J: Warren Fentiman · T: Jedd O'Keeffe
12%
14%
7.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 -13% 6th
5
INDYS ANGEL
J: Aiden Brookes · T: Philip Kirby
10%
9%
11.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +12% 2nd
6
JENNI
J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: Seb Spencer
9%
13%
7.5
 -29% 4th
7
WITHOUT DELAY
J: Lauren Young(3) · T: Tracy Waggott
8%
8%
13.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -0% 9th
8
GROUNDSMAN
J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) · T: Mark Loughnane
6%
3%
29.0
 +74% 8th
9
SUMMER RAIN
J: Alex Jary · T: Craig Lidster
5%
2%
41.0
 +120% 5th

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

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