Sligo 13:45 — Value Analysis

Sunday 12 July 2026 · result below

Maiden GTF 17.5f Class 0 14 runners

Model's most likely PEBBLE ISLAND 12% model chance · market —

No standout value here — the model and market broadly agree on the prices.

Why the model rates PEBBLE ISLAND top (12% chance)

✓ Has faced stronger opposition than most of these
✓ Nicely in at the weights
✓ Race-fit - out just 8 days ago
✕ Yard quiet lately (4% in the last two months)
✕ Form figures leave him plenty to find

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Avg Price	Value
1	PEBBLE ISLAND ★ Top Rated J: None · T: John C McConnell	12%	—	—	—	4th
2	HYGGE J: None · T: Gordon Elliott	11%	—	—	—
3	THE CHANCIE GREY J: None · T: John Joseph Hanlon	11%	—	—	—	6th
4	WHATS NEW J: None · T: Andrew Slattery	9%	—	—	—	2nd
5	MANOIR DE MIRANDE J: None · T: Gordon Elliott	9%	—	—	—	Winner
6	NOBLE ROCCO J: None · T: Gordon Elliott	9%	—	—	—	9th
7	CASHELDALE LASS J: None · T: Andrew Kinirons	7%	—	—	—	8th
8	GEORG ZHUKOV J: None · T: Eamonn O'Connell	6%	—	—	—
9	BEAT THE DEVIL J: None · T: Patrick Magee	6%	—	—	—	7th
10	MEGABALL J: None · T: Francis Casey	6%	—	—	—
11	EMMAMIA J: None · T: Mark Michael McNiff	6%	—	—	—	10th
12	SYLVIE POWER J: None · T: Liz Doyle	5%	—	—	—	5th
13	IM ALL IN J: None · T: Gordon Elliott	3%	—	—	—
14	BOBBY KIROVA J: None · T: Michael Butler	0%	—	—	—	3rd

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org