Goodwood 13:50 — Value Analysis
Coral Rewards Shaker Handicap Stakes (Gbbplus Race)
Wednesday 29 July 2026
Preferred to Cannes and a proven winner at this class, though form figures leave plenty to find. Yard in form at 18% in the last two months, but the trip poses a question mark as he steps into stronger company.
- ✓ Preferred to Cannes, a proven winner at this class
- ✓ Andrew Balding's yard in form, 18% winners in the last two months
- ✕ Form figures leave it plenty to find
- ✕ Trip is a question mark
Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
HATTEEN
★ Top Rated
|
32% |
31% |
3.2
|
+5% | |
| 2 |
CANNES
|
17% |
17% |
6.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+5% | |
| 3 |
INFRAAD
|
17% |
31% |
3.2
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-44% | |
| 4 |
TIERRA DEL TORO
|
14% |
13% |
7.5
|
+9% | |
| 5 |
BALTIC FLEET
|
10% |
3% |
34.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+224% | |
| 6 |
BAY ROYALE
|
9% |
12% |
8.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-25% | |
| — |
BLUE HERCULES
NR
|
8% |
3% |
29.0
|
+129% | Withdrawn |
| 7 |
SEA AND SUN
|
8% |
5% |
19.0
▼ Edge decreasing
|
+44% | |
| 8 |
PARISIAN SCHOLAR
|
6% |
2% |
41.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+126% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →
EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org