Redcar 14:05 — Value Analysis
Racing Tv Free Trial British Apprentice Handicap Stakes
Wednesday 29 July 2026
Preferred and better in the weights with a Redcar win on record. The yard fires at 17% in the fortnight; consecutive thirds lack a winner and the going to firm is a question mark after 33 days away.
- ✓ Preferred to Kats Bob, 5lb better in at the weights
- ✓ Well treated on official ratings
- ✓ Nicely in at the weights
- ✕ The good to firm is a question mark for it
- ✕ Little to like about its run two runs back
Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AMORIM
★ Top Rated
|
36% |
17% |
6.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+114% | |
| 2 |
KATS BOB
|
23% |
23% |
4.3
▲ Edge increasing
|
+1% | |
| 3 |
ARCHDUKE FERDINAND
|
16% |
25% |
4.0
|
-38% | |
| 4 |
STAR MATERIAL
|
14% |
14% |
7.0
|
+0% | |
| 5 |
ARTAGNAN
|
11% |
12% |
8.5
▲ Edge increasing
|
-4% | |
| 6 |
MYTHICAL PHOENIX
|
10% |
9% |
11.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+12% | |
| 7 |
FIRST FOLIO
|
9% |
15% |
6.5
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-43% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →
EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org