Catterick 14:45 — Value Analysis
Hugh James Classified Stakes
Tuesday 4 August 2026
Bang on the trip and well treated on ratings, Iconic Times bounced back to winning ways last time and now drops into an easier race, though the quick five-day turnaround and recent struggles beforehand counsel some caution.
- ✓ Bang on trip for it at 7f
- ✓ Has been racing at a higher level than this lately
- ✓ Well treated on official ratings
- ✕ Consistency has been a worry
- ✕ Little to like about its run over its last three runs
Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ICONIC TIMES
★ Top Rated
|
36% |
60% |
1.7
|
-40% | |
| 2 |
WAIT FOR IT
|
23% |
20% |
4.9
▼ Edge decreasing
|
+11% | |
| 3 |
RAIN CAP
|
16% |
13% |
7.8
|
+27% | |
| 4 |
OUR HERO MATTY
|
10% |
7% |
15.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+56% | |
| 5 |
ZIVAS STAR
|
8% |
2% |
51.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+322%market disagrees | |
| 6 |
DUE RESPECT
|
7% |
6% |
17.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+11% | |
| 7 |
WITHOUT DELAY
|
6% |
7% |
14.0
|
-15% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →
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