Ascot 13:35 — Value Analysis

Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Class 2 Handicap)

Saturday 8 August 2026

Other Handicap GTF 5.0f Class 2 10 runners
Model's most likely BOLO NEIGHS 22% model chance · market 20%
★ Best value BOLO NEIGHS model 22% vs market 20% · +11%
Why the model rates BOLO NEIGHS top (22% chance)
  • ✓ Bang on trip for it at 5f
  • ✓ Ralph Beckett's yard in form, 18% winners in the last two months
  • ✓ Record at this level stands out
  • ✕ Form figures leave it plenty to find
  • ✕ Little to like about its run two runs back

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
BOLO NEIGHS ★ Top Rated
J: Christophe-Patrice Lemaire · T: Ralph Beckett
5.0 ·market 20%
22%
20%
5.0
 +11%
2
FANDOM
J: Suraj Narredu · T: Richard Hannon
5.5 ·market 18%
19%
18%
5.5
 +4%
3
ALL WAYS GLAMOROUS
J: Mme Marie Velon · T: Christopher Mason
4.5 ·market 22%
13%
22%
4.5
▼ Edge decreasing
 -41%
4
FAHRENHEIT SEVEN
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Robert Cowell
9.8 ·market 10%
12%
10%
9.8
 +17%
5
TUCO SALAMANCA
J: Jerry Chau · T: Ollie Sangster
6.5 ·market 15%
12%
15%
6.5
 -25%
6
KENDALL ROY
J: Mme Frida Valle Skar · T: Miss Kate McGivern
9.0 ·market 11%
9%
11%
9.0
 -18%
7
SPARTAN ARROW
J: Ryan Moore · T: Archie Watson
11.0 ·market 9%
7%
9%
11.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -26%
8
CINQUE VERDE
J: Jamie Melham · T: Tony Carroll
13.0 ·market 8%
6%
8%
13.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 -27%
9
GAELI
J: Yutaka Take · T: Philip Kirby
26.0 ·market 4%
5%
4%
26.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +35%
10
GOLD STAR HERO
J: C Y Ho · T: Michael Bell
17.0 ·market 6%
5%
6%
17.0
 -22%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org