Haydock 13:50 — Value Analysis

Betway Leigh Handicap Stakes

Saturday 8 August 2026

Other Handicap GD 10.0f Class 5 6 runners
Model's most likely BRIGHTON VIEW 34% model chance · market 56%
No standout value here — the model and market broadly agree on the prices.
Why the model rates BRIGHTON VIEW top (34% chance)
  • ✓ Race-fit - out just 6 days ago
  • ✓ Has run well in better company than today's
  • ✕ Carries plenty of weight today
  • ✕ Form figures leave it plenty to find

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
BRIGHTON VIEW ★ Top Rated
J: Oisin Murphy · T: William Knight
1.8 ·market 56%
34%
56%
1.8
 -38%
2
RELENTLESS HERO
J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding
4.5 ·market 22%
23%
22%
4.5
 +3%
3
MANDARIN SPIRIT
J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan
11.0 ·market 9%
15%
9%
11.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 +62%
4
SAXOPHONIST
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara
4.5 ·market 22%
14%
22%
4.5
 -38%
5
LC TIFFEN
J: Molly Gunn(5) · T: Lisa Williamson
51.0 ·market 2%
12%
2%
51.0
 +498%market disagrees
—
CLAYTONS KOLATONIC NR
J: Ray Dawson · T: Dominic Ffrench Davis
— ·market —
8%
—
—
 — Withdrawn

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

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