Worcester 14:08 — Value Analysis

Neu-Servo Bet On Great Repairs Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Sunday 23 August 2026

Handicap Chase GD 23.0f Class 4 9 runners
Model's most likely AXEL BLEUE 37% model chance · market 27%
★ Best value AXEL BLEUE model 37% vs market 27% · +41%
Why the model rates AXEL BLEUE top (37% chance)
  • ✓ Strong record against this class of rival
  • ✓ Record at this level stands out
  • ✕ Little to like about its run two runs back
  • ✕ Yet to be tested against much

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance
Market
Implies
Avg Price Value
2
GATA BAN
J: Dylan Johnston · T: Neil Mulholland
5.5 ·market 18%
14%
18%
5.5
▲ Edge increasing
-21%
3
CAMINO ROCIO
J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton
4.0 ·market 25%
11%
25%
4.0
-55%
4
BILLY BOI BLUE
J: Kielan Woods · T: David Killahena & Graeme McPherson
13.0 ·market 8%
9%
8%
13.0
▲ Edge increasing
+11%
5
GAELIC RAMBLER
J: Jonjo O'Neill Jr. · T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
9.5 ·market 11%
8%
11%
9.5
-23%
ARTISTE DAINAY NR
J: James Bowen · T: Billy Aprahamian
·market —
7%
Withdrawn
6
RAS KASSAR
J: Rian Corcoran(5) · T: David Pipe
6.5 ·market 15%
6%
15%
6.5
▲ Edge increasing
-59%
7
ALL INN HAND
J: Sean Bowen · T: Mickey Bowen
17.0 ·market 6%
5%
6%
17.0
-19%
8
TWIST OF FATECATCH
J: Richie McLernon · T: Neil Mulholland
13.0 ·market 8%
4%
8%
13.0
-44%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org