Ffos Las 14:00 — Value Analysis

Behind The Lens Media Handicap Stakes

Friday 28 August 2026

Other Handicap GD 5.0f Class 6 8 runners
Model's most likely FOREVER GLAMOROUS 35% model chance · market 36%
★ Best value THE FIXER model 17% vs market 12% · +42%
Why the model rates FOREVER GLAMOROUS top (35% chance)

Drops into a notably easier race with ideal trip credentials and strong record at this level; arrives fresh after 32 days.

  • ✓ Bang on trip for it at 5f
  • ✓ Strong record against this class of rival
  • ✓ Ideally fresh - 32 days since its last run
  • ✕ Yet to be tested against much
  • ✕ Little to like about its run two runs back

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
FOREVER GLAMOROUS ★ Top Rated
J: Gina Mangan · T: Christopher Mason
2.8 ·market 36%
35%
36%
2.8
▼ Edge decreasing
 -3%
2
LITTLE JAYBEE
J: Joe Leavy · T: David Evans
3.8 ·market 27%
19%
27%
3.8
▼ Edge decreasing
 -27%
3
THE FIXER
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon
8.5 ·market 12%
17%
12%
8.5
▲ Edge increasing
 +42%
4
CALL TIME
J: Taylor Fisher · T: J S Moore
5.0 ·market 20%
10%
20%
5.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 -52%
5
SON OF ASTAR
J: David Probert · T: Tony Carroll
11.0 ·market 9%
9%
9%
11.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +3%
—
BRIDGETS BABY NR
J: Myla Coppins(5) · T: Tony Carroll
6.5 ·market 15%
7%
15%
6.5
▼ Edge decreasing
 -52% Withdrawn
6
KODI K
J: Liam Wright(3) · T: John Gallagher
11.0 ·market 9%
6%
9%
11.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -39%
—
RED WALLS NR
J: Ben Ffrench Davis(5) · T: Lisa Williamson
51.0 ·market 2%
5%
2%
51.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 +170% Withdrawn

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

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