Sandown 14:25 — Value Analysis
Killik Nursery Handicap Stakes
Friday 28 August 2026
Young improver with winning form in his last six outings and ideally suited to the trip; dropping into a notably easier race, he remains well treated despite a lapse last time out.
- ✓ Well treated on official ratings
- ✓ Bang on trip for it at 5f
- ✓ Young improver with scope
- ✕ Yet to be tested against much
- ✕ Consistency has been a worry
Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
INNICHEN
★ Top Rated
3.5
·market 29%
|
30% |
29% |
3.5
▲ Edge increasing
|
+6% | |
| 2 |
BETTY BOOP
4.3
·market 23%
|
16% |
23% |
4.3
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-31% | |
| 3 |
SKY SECRET
7.5
·market 13%
|
15% |
13% |
7.5
▲ Edge increasing
|
+10% | |
| 4 |
TRUE CHARM
13.0
·market 8%
|
10% |
8% |
13.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+31% | |
| 5 |
ARABICA QUEEN
7.0
·market 14%
|
9% |
14% |
7.0
|
-40% | |
| 6 |
ROTELLE
10.0
·market 10%
|
7% |
10% |
10.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-32% | |
| 7 |
HOLI SCARLETT
13.0
·market 8%
|
6% |
8% |
13.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-28% | |
| 8 |
UNDERCOVER AFFAIR
8.5
·market 12%
|
5% |
12% |
8.5
|
-58% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org