Epsom 13:50 — Value Analysis

Betfred 'turbo Boost' Handicap Stakes

Monday 31 August 2026

Other Handicap GTS 6.0f Class 5 7 runners
Model's most likely LOGI BEAR 32% model chance · market 17%
★ Best value LOGI BEAR model 32% vs market 17% · +91%
Why the model rates LOGI BEAR top (32% chance)
  • ✓ Preferred to Em Four, 8lb better in at the weights and a proven winner at this class
  • ✓ David Probert and John Butler win 27% together
  • ✕ Little to like about its run two runs back
  • ✕ Consistency has been a worry

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
LOGI BEAR ★ Top Rated
J: David Probert · T: John Butler
6.0 ·market 17%
32%
17%
6.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +91%
2
EM FOUR
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne
4.0 ·market 25%
25%
25%
4.0
 -2%
3
HARRYS HALO
J: Seamus Cronin(5) · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost
6.0 ·market 17%
14%
17%
6.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -14%
4
PROOF
J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills
7.0 ·market 14%
12%
14%
7.0
 -15%
5
PERFECT LOCATION
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Tom Ward
21.0 ·market 5%
10%
5%
21.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +116%
6
TWIRLER
J: Kieren Fox · T: Michael Attwater
4.0 ·market 25%
9%
25%
4.0
 -63%
7
CAYMAN TAI
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon
10.0 ·market 10%
8%
10%
10.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 -20%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

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