Newcastle 14:15 — Value Analysis

Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park Handicap Stakes

Wednesday 2 September 2026

Other Handicap STD 10.0f Class 6 12 runners
🏁 Result: Rugby Union won (SP 4.33)
Model's most likely DALAMARA 33% model chance · market 25%
★ Best value DALAMARA model 33% vs market 25% · +33%
Why the model rates DALAMARA top (33% chance)
  • ✓ Ben Haslam's yard in form, 14% winners in the fortnight
  • ✓ Among the best recent form figures in the race
  • ✕ Carries plenty of weight today
  • ✕ The standard is a question mark for it

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
DALAMARA ★ Top Rated
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam
4.0 ·market 25%
33%
25%
4.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +33% 3rd
2
RUGBY UNION
J: Joanna Mason · T: Gemma Tutty
4.3 ·market 23%
16%
23%
4.3
▼ Edge decreasing
 -30% Winner
3
BALDOSA
J: Faye McManoman · T: Nigel Tinkler
6.0 ·market 17%
11%
17%
6.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -33% 6th
4
NEW OBJECTIVE
J: William Pyle · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost
7.5 ·market 13%
9%
13%
7.5
 -32% 4th
5
CLOVA ROYALE
J: Mark Winn · T: Peter Niven
13.0 ·market 8%
7%
8%
13.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 -10% 10th
6
DIAMOND AURA
J: P J McDonald · T: Tim Easterby
21.0 ·market 5%
6%
5%
21.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +31% 9th
7
GIFTS DIFFERING
J: Jason Hart · T: Ross Burdon
10.0 ·market 10%
6%
10%
10.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 -42% 2nd
8
GILLEANGIRL
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ivan Furtado
26.0 ·market 4%
5%
4%
26.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +40% 7th
9
GALISTRA
J: Tom Eaves · T: Alan Brown
67.0 ·market 1%
5%
1%
67.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +255% 12th
10
PAROLE OFFICER
J: Barry McHugh · T: Ewan Whillans
7.5 ·market 13%
4%
13%
7.5
 -66% 5th
11
GO TEEJAY
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Craig Lidster
41.0 ·market 2%
4%
2%
41.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +83% 8th
12
NEFYN QUEEN
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Stephen Hanlon
41.0 ·market 2%
3%
2%
41.0
 +20% 11th

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org