Worcester 13:40 — Value Analysis
CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase
Thursday 10 September 2026
Preferred to Kenzo Des Bruyeres on this ground and proven on the good, with Gavin Sheehan and Donald McCain winning 33% together; he offered little when running 13 days ago, though that outing leaves him race-fit.
- ✓ Preferred to Kenzo Des Bruyeres, better on the ground
- ✓ Gavin Sheehan and Donald McCain win 33% together
- ✓ Race-fit - out just 13 days ago
- ✕ Little to like about its run last time
- ✕ Gavin Sheehan cold lately, 7% in the fortnight
Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
JO ARENGEOT BEY AA
★ Top Rated
3.0
·market 33%
|
46% |
33% |
3.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+37% | |
| 2 |
KENZO DES BRUYERES
3.0
·market 33%
|
15% |
33% |
3.0
|
-56% | |
| 3 |
BROADWAY HONEY
6.0
·market 17%
|
13% |
17% |
6.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-23% | |
| 4 |
MAN OH MAN
8.0
·market 12%
|
12% |
12% |
8.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-5% | |
| 5 |
IZZYS GREY
11.0
·market 9%
|
9% |
9% |
11.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+2% | |
| 6 |
SWINGFORTHEFENCE
12.0
·market 8%
|
8% |
8% |
12.0
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-7% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →
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