Uttoxeter 14:00: Value Analysis
Support Scropton Riding For The Disabled Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race
Tuesday 15 September 2026
Ticks most boxes: third in each of its last two starts after running well three runs back, handles good ground, and Murray Dodd and Nigel Hawke win 13% together. Has never won at this class and consistency is a worry.
- ✓ Ran well three runs back
- ✓ Handles the good well
- ✓ Murray Dodd and Nigel Hawke win 13% together
- ✕ Consistency has been a worry
- ✕ Yet to be tested against much
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
TORRENT
★ Top Rated
4.0
·market 25%
|
37% |
25% |
4.0
|
+48% | |
| 2 |
BETTYS TIARA
5.0
·market 20%
|
20% |
20% |
5.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-1% | |
| 3 |
HARRY
7.0
·market 14%
|
14% |
14% |
7.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+1% | |
| 4 |
PIKE ROAD
6.5
·market 15%
|
11% |
15% |
6.5
▲ Edge increasing
|
-26% | |
| 5 |
CRYSTAL GLANCE
6.5
·market 15%
|
9% |
15% |
6.5
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-45% | |
| 6 |
BILLY BOI BLUE
10.0
·market 10%
|
7% |
10% |
10.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-33% | |
| 7 |
CINNODIN
9.5
·market 11%
|
6% |
11% |
9.5
|
-42% | |
| 8 |
IMPERIAL DATA
26.0
·market 4%
|
6% |
4% |
26.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+51% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org