Beverley 14:08: Value Analysis

Season Finale Is Next Tuesday Selling Handicap Stakes

Wednesday 16 September 2026

Selling Handicap GD 10.0f Class 5 11 runners
Our highest-rated★ Best value MAO SHANG WONG Our price 11/4 · Available 9/2 We make it 27% · the market says 18% · +50%
Why the model rates MAO SHANG WONG top (27% chance)

Proven over course and distance with some of the best recent form figures in the race, he ticks most boxes at this level, though there was little to like about his effort 13 days ago.

  • ✓ Proven over this exact course and distance
  • ✓ Among the best recent form figures in the race
  • ✕ Little to like about its run last time
  • ✕ Yet to be tested against much

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
MAO SHANG WONG ★ Top Rated
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara
Form: 02752 · CD
5.5 ·market 18%
27%
18%
5.5
▲ Edge increasing
 +50%
2
AUSTRIAN THEORY
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby
Form: 58534 · D
3.8 ·market 27%
17%
27%
3.8
▼ Edge decreasing
 -36%
3
COSMOS RAJ
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara
Form: 44141 · D
5.0 ·market 20%
12%
20%
5.0
 -41%
4
GREAT BLASKET
J: Jason Hart · T: James Owen
Form: 76133
7.5 ·market 13%
11%
13%
7.5
▲ Edge increasing
 -18%
5
KITSUNE POWER
J: Cam Hardie · T: Tim Easterby
Form: 13400 · CD
34.0 ·market 3%
10%
3%
34.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +234%
,
OHARA NR
J: Clifford Lee · T: Eve Johnson Houghton
Form: 82074
6.8 ·market 15%
9%
15%
6.8
 -37% Withdrawn
6
BEARWITH
J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Harriet Bethell
Form: 49125 · CD
8.0 ·market 12%
8%
12%
8.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -39%
7
FREDDY ROBINSON
J: Connor Beasley · T: Brian Ellison
Form: 42225 · CD
13.0 ·market 8%
7%
8%
13.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -8%
8
SHIMMERING SANDS
J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby
Form: 41136 · CD
11.0 ·market 9%
7%
9%
11.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -27%
9
DR RIO
J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll
Form: 87531 · CD
10.0 ·market 10%
6%
10%
10.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 -44%
10
HUNTERIAN
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Charlie Johnston
Form: 21667
41.0 ·market 2%
4%
2%
41.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +75%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org