Worcester 12:55: Value Analysis

CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple Chase

Friday 25 September 2026

Handicap Chase GD 16.5f Class 5 10 runners
Our highest-rated★ Best value GOOD FOR YOU Our price 3/1 · Available 9/1 We make it 25% · the market says 10% · +150%

⚠ Vulnerable favourite: ONEHUNDREDNEIGHTY is the market favourite (1.8) but the model rates it only 18% vs the market's 56%. It may be beatable.

Why the model rates GOOD FOR YOU top (25% chance)
  • ✓ Bang on trip for it at 2m
  • ✓ Well treated on official ratings
  • ✓ Strong record against this class of rival
  • ✕ First run for 162 days, so fitness is a question
  • ✕ Unproven at this level

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
GOOD FOR YOU ★ Top Rated
J: Ciaran Gethings · T: Jane Williams
Form: 596P6
10.0 ·market 10%
25%
10%
10.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +150%
2
ONEHUNDREDNEIGHTY
J: Ben Jones · T: Ben Pauling
Form: 23542
1.8 ·market 56%
18%
56%
1.8
 -68%
3
TURPIN GOLD
J: Stan Sheppard · T: Tom Lacey
Form: 20342 · D
8.0 ·market 12%
15%
12%
8.0
 +22%
4
KALLY DES BRUYERES
J: Jonathan Burke · T: David Dennis
Form: 5141F · D
7.5 ·market 13%
11%
13%
7.5
▼ Edge decreasing
 -17%
5
FORCETORECKONWITH
J: Jack Tudor · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
Form: 3214F · D
13.0 ·market 8%
10%
8%
13.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +27%
6
GALEFORCECHOPPER
J: Liam Harrison · T: David Brace
Form: 96913 · CD
19.0 ·market 5%
9%
5%
19.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +74%
7
BOOM BOOM
J: James Best · T: Rob Summers
Form: PPP32 · D
17.0 ·market 6%
7%
6%
17.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +20%
8
PRAIRIE QUEEN
J: Sean Houlihan · T: Susan Gardner
Form: 33135 · D
8.0 ·market 12%
6%
12%
8.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 -52%
9
APPLEJACK POET
J: Callum Pritchard · T: Barry Murphy
Form: 4P8F3 · D
26.0 ·market 4%
5%
4%
26.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +27%
10
BLACKIJO DAGROSTIS
J: Brendan Powell · T: Matt Sheppard
Form: 54343
19.0 ·market 5%
4%
5%
19.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -15%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org