Ffos Las 13:19: Value Analysis

Alex And Salvo Welcome You To The Bridge Handicap Stakes

Sunday 27 September 2026

Other Handicap SFT 6.0f Class 6 12 runners
Our highest-rated★ Best value SHUSH A MINUTE Our price 9/2 · Available 7/1 We make it 19% · the market says 12% · +50%
Why the model rates SHUSH A MINUTE top (19% chance)

Best on the evidence of runs in stronger company — a field averaging 52 against 47 today — and she eases in grade over a trip she knows. John Ryan's 7% in the fortnight and 306 days off temper it.

  • ✓ Has run well in better company than today's
  • ✕ John Ryan's yard quiet lately, 7% in the fortnight
  • ✕ First run for 306 days, so fitness is a question

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
SHUSH A MINUTE ★ Top Rated
J: Paddy Bradley · T: John Ryan
Form: 8U765
8.0 ·market 12%
19%
12%
8.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +50%
2
BLUE POINT EXPRESS
J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle
Form: 50543
6.5 ·market 15%
12%
15%
6.5
 -24%
3
MACARONE
J: Ben Ffrench Davis(5) · T: Grace Harris
Form: 52511 · CD
3.5 ·market 29%
12%
29%
3.5
 -59%
4
SUB THIRTEEN
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Jeremy Scott
Form: 32433 · D
3.5 ·market 29%
11%
29%
3.5
▲ Edge increasing
 -62%
5
UP THE ANTI
J: Myla Coppins(5) · T: Tony Carroll
Form: 648P9 · D
6.5 ·market 15%
10%
15%
6.5
 -36%
6
THE BEAR OF SAINTS
J: William Carson · T: John O'Shea
Form: 037
17.0 ·market 6%
9%
6%
17.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +61%
7
GREAT SUCCESS
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon
Form: 54500
26.0 ·market 4%
6%
4%
26.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 +60%
8
PACIFIC PRINCE
J: Laura Coughlan(3) · T: James Bennett
Form: 60B88
67.0 ·market 1%
6%
1%
67.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +287%
9
MISS GOLD
J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: David Flood
Form: 80998
81.0 ·market 1%
5%
1%
81.0
 +288%
10
MUSIC AND SONG
J: David Probert · T: David Flood
Form: 58966
8.5 ·market 12%
5%
12%
8.5
▼ Edge decreasing
 -60%
11
SAVVI ROW
J: Tyler Heard · T: Rod Millman
Form: 97750
41.0 ·market 2%
4%
2%
41.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 +70%
12
LOCHABER
J: Rob Hornby · T: Scott Dixon
Form: 550
41.0 ·market 2%
3%
2%
41.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 +37%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org