Leicester 13:31: Value Analysis

Willpower Group Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Tuesday 6 October 2026

Other Handicap GTF 7.0f Class 6 10 runners
Our highest-rated DASHING DICK Our price 9/2 · Available 3/1 We make it 18% · the market says 25%
No standout value here. No runner is rated above its current price.
Why the model rates DASHING DICK top (18% chance)
  • ✓ Preferred to Folkene, better suited by the trip and better on the ground
  • ✓ Well treated on official ratings
  • ✓ Ran better than the result suggests last time
  • ✕ Consistency has been a worry
  • ✕ Stepping up beyond the level it has shown

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
DASHING DICK ★ Top Rated
J: Jack Dace · T: William Stone
Form: 65645 · CD
4.0 ·market 25%
18%
25%
4.0
 -29%
2
FOLKENE
J: Conor Whiteley(3) · T: Roger Fell
Form: 04748 · D
5.5 ·market 18%
15%
18%
5.5
▲ Edge increasing
 -16%
3
EYES FRONT
J: Harry Vigors(3) · T: Edward Smyth-Osbourne
Form: 41543 · D
5.0 ·market 20%
14%
20%
5.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 -31%
4
SIR DAVID
J: Alex Jary · T: Nigel Tinkler
Form: 93182 · D
6.0 ·market 17%
13%
17%
6.0
 -24%
5
SHARK TWO ONE
J: Olivia Tubb(3) · T: Jessica Macey
Form: 50361 · CD
8.5 ·market 12%
11%
12%
8.5
▲ Edge increasing
 -9%
6
MOOSTAR
J: Oliver Hoodless(7) · T: James Owen
Form: 36289
23.0 ·market 4%
8%
4%
23.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +81%
7
ALBESEEINGYER
J: Luke Catton · T: Steph Hollinshead
Form: 56339 · CD
12.0 ·market 8%
6%
8%
12.0
 -26%
8
SEARCHINGTHEBLUES
J: Rose Dawes · T: Mark Usher
Form: 30249 · D
12.0 ·market 8%
6%
8%
12.0
 -32%
9
SOCA STAR
J: Shay Farmer(3) · T: Seb Spencer
Form: 55523
27.0 ·market 4%
6%
4%
27.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +53%
10
SNAAFY
J: Seamus Cronin · T: David Loughnane
Form: 29598
23.0 ·market 4%
4%
4%
23.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -1%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org