Brighton 13:38: Value Analysis

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Tuesday 6 October 2026

Other Handicap GD 10.0f Class 6 10 runners
Our highest-rated JENSON BENSON Our price 7/2 · Available 3/1 We make it 22% · the market says 25%
No standout value here. No runner is rated above its current price.
Why the model rates JENSON BENSON top (22% chance)

Ticks most boxes: a winner over this trip 35 days ago, second the start before, and well treated on official ratings, with solid claims against this class; he is exposed, though, and vulnerable to less exposed rivals.

  • ✓ Strong record against this class of rival
  • ✓ Has won over 1m2f before
  • ✓ Ran well two runs back
  • ✕ Yet to be tested against much
  • ✕ A well-exposed veteran

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
JENSON BENSON ★ Top Rated
J: Amy Tucker(7) · T: Shaun Lycett
Form: 521 · CD
4.0 ·market 25%
22%
25%
4.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -11%
2
LAUNCESTON
J: Charlie Tucker · T: Tony Carroll
Form: 74413
6.0 ·market 17%
16%
17%
6.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -7%
3
TWILIGHT GUEST
J: Chloe Lyons · T: George Margarson
Form: 64464 · CD
6.0 ·market 17%
13%
17%
6.0
 -24%
4
HAVEAGOBEAU
J: Kyle McHugh · T: Jim Boyle
Form: 52143 · D
6.5 ·market 15%
12%
15%
6.5
 -24%
5
PRIVATE PROJECT
J: Isobelle Chalmers · T: Pat Phelan
Form: 09316 · D
6.0 ·market 17%
10%
17%
6.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 -40%
6
ITSONLYROCKANDROLL
J: Joe Bradnam · T: Adam Kirby
Form: 75534
19.0 ·market 5%
8%
5%
19.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +51%
7
MIMIS MAGIC
J: Ben Pollard(5) · T: Seamus Mullins
Form: 56899
12.0 ·market 8%
7%
8%
12.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -10%
8
MONKS MEAD
J: Alicia Perkins(5) · T: Mark Usher
Form: 04346 · D
11.0 ·market 9%
7%
9%
11.0
 -26%
9
LE FLEUR PRINCESS
J: Finlay Bassett(7) · T: Paddy Butler
Form: 64750
34.0 ·market 3%
3%
3%
34.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +8%
10
BOBBY DASSLER
J: James Glennon(5) · T: Barry Murphy
Form: 77808
15.0 ·market 7%
2%
7%
15.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 -63%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org