Worcester 13:05: Value Analysis

Copybet Follow Us On X Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Wednesday 7 October 2026

Handicap Chase GD 23.0f Class 3 6 runners
Our highest-rated KING ROLY Our price 5/2 · Available 13/8 We make it 28% · the market says 38%
★ Best value SNIPE Our price 11/4 · Available 5/1 We make it 27% · the market says 17% · +65%
Why the model rates KING ROLY top (28% chance)
  • ✓ Mickey Bowen's yard in form, 18% winners in the last two months
  • ✓ Ran well last time, finished 2nd
  • ✓ James Bowen riding well, 22% strike rate in the fortnight
  • ✕ Consistency has been a worry
  • ✕ Carries plenty of weight today

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
KING ROLY ★ Top Rated
J: James Bowen · T: Mickey Bowen
Form: P2912 · CD
2.6 ·market 38%
28%
38%
2.6
 -25%
2
SNIPE
J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton
Form: 16242
6.0 ·market 17%
27%
17%
6.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +65%
3
KARNAVAL POINT
J: Rian Corcoran(5) · T: David Pipe
Form: 16356 · C
5.0 ·market 20%
17%
20%
5.0
 -16%
4
AWAYTHELAD
J: Ben Jones · T: Ben Pauling
Form: P7P
5.0 ·market 20%
11%
20%
5.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 -43%
5
DARTAN
J: Sean Bowen · T: Sarah Humphrey
Form: 0329
26.0 ·market 4%
9%
4%
26.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +132%
6
BADBURY RINGS
J: Conor O'Farrell · T: Neil Mulholland
8.0 ·market 12%
7%
12%
8.0
 -46%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org