Worcester 13:35: Value Analysis
Copybet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Wednesday 7 October 2026
Finds a weaker race after meeting stronger company, where a fourth 200 days ago and a win three starts back read well, and the Skeltons team up at 30%. Fitness after such a long break is the only real query.
- ✓ Preferred to Bel Ombre, better suited by the trip
- ✓ Harry Skelton riding well, 27% strike rate in the last two months
- ✓ Harry Skelton and Dan Skelton win 30% together
- ✕ Consistency has been a worry
- ✕ First run for 200 days, so fitness is a question
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
IN THE AGE
★ Top Rated
4.0
·market 25%
|
34% |
25% |
4.0
▼ Edge decreasing
|
+37% | |
| 2 |
BEL OMBRE
7.0
·market 14%
|
17% |
14% |
7.0
|
+22% | |
| 3 |
DRACO MALFOY
4.0
·market 25%
|
15% |
25% |
4.0
|
-41% | |
| 4 |
KELIJOE
3.5
·market 29%
|
12% |
29% |
3.5
▲ Edge increasing
|
-56% | |
| 5 |
LIVINGIT DU LARGE
12.0
·market 8%
|
11% |
8% |
12.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+35% | |
| 6 |
LE SOLEIL REVE
9.0
·market 11%
|
10% |
11% |
9.0
|
-13% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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