Newmarket 13:15: Value Analysis
Modern Games Darley Stakes (Group 3)
Saturday 10 October 2026
Ticks most boxes: strong record against this class, a win over 1m1f, and a second 15 days ago after scoring three and four starts back. Still unexposed against better, and the trip needs confirming.
- ✓ Strong record against this class of rival
- ✓ Has won over 1m1f before
- ✓ Ran well over its last three runs
- ✕ Yet to be tested against much
- ✕ Trip is a question mark
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
THE LOST KING
★ Top Rated
2.8
·market 36%
|
48% |
36% |
2.8
|
+31% | |
| 2 |
HUMIDITY
4.0
·market 25%
|
18% |
25% |
4.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-28% | |
| 3 |
BOILING POINT
5.0
·market 20%
|
14% |
20% |
5.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-29% | |
| 4 |
HAATEM
5.5
·market 18%
|
12% |
18% |
5.5
|
-32% | |
| 5 |
HIGH STOCK
12.0
·market 8%
|
8% |
8% |
12.0
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-5% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
1. Create a free account (no card needed).
2. Start your 7-day trial (card required). 7 days free, then £14.99/month.
See pricing ·
already a member? Sign in
EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org