York 13:30: Value Analysis

Sky Bet Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race)

Saturday 10 October 2026

Listed SFT 6.0f Class 1 10 runners

Our highest-rated★ Best value CUT A DASH Our price 4/1 · Available 5/1 We make it 19% · the market says 17% · +15%

Why the model rates CUT A DASH top (19% chance)

Solid claims across the board: one of the highest-rated, a previous York winner, and he eases in grade after facing a field averaging 100 against 92 today. Soft ground and a patchy run of form are the doubts.

✓ One of the highest-rated in the race
✓ A previous winner at York
✕ Consistency has been a worry
✕ The soft is a question mark for it

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Avg Price	Value
1	CUT A DASH ★ Top Rated J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon Form: 1495 · C 6.0 ·market 17%	19%	17%	6.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+15%
2	DIVINE WHISPER J: Tom Marquand · T: George Boughey Form: 213 5.0 ·market 20%	18%	20%	5.0 ▼ Edge decreasing	-10%
3	AGAMEMNON J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes Form: 18347 6.5 ·market 15%	17%	15%	6.5 ▲ Edge increasing	+12%
4	HICKORY LAD J: Sam James · T: Phillip Makin Form: 13835 · D 6.0 ·market 17%	11%	17%	6.0	-35%
5	SPIRIT OF LYRA J: Jason Hart · T: William Knight Form: 4124 · D 26.0 ·market 4%	9%	4%	26.0	+129%
6	BATTLE FEVER J: Shane Gray · T: Kevin Ryan Form: 23123 8.0 ·market 12%	8%	12%	8.0 ▼ Edge decreasing	-36%
7	DUBAI CHAMPION J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam Form: 31202 6.5 ·market 15%	7%	15%	6.5	-56%
,	ANGELS PASSING NR J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan Form: 410 · D — ·market —	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn
8	BIG CIGAR J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey Form: 15177 · CD 12.0 ·market 8%	4%	8%	12.0	-54%
9	LOVE A GIGGLE J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke Form: 11040 · C 26.0 ·market 4%	4%	4%	26.0 ▼ Edge decreasing	-1%
10	MATTEO J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan Form: 1178 34.0 ·market 3%	4%	3%	34.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+23%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org