Cork 13:02: Value Analysis

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Academy Hurdle

Sunday 11 October 2026

Other Hurdle GD 17.5f Class 0 7 runners
Our highest-rated WORLD OF THE WAY Our price 10/3 · Available 10/11 We make it 23% · the market says 52%
★ Best value DESTINEDFORHISTORY Our price 9/2 · Available 15/2 We make it 18% · the market says 12% · +51%
Why the model rates WORLD OF THE WAY top (23% chance)
  • ✓ Unraced, yard wins 7% with its first-time-out runners
  • ✕ Mostly unraced field — ranking is based on stable/jockey strength, not form. Confidence is genuinely low here
  • ✕ No form to judge, genuine unknown

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
WORLD OF THE WAY ★ Top Rated
J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry de Bromhead
1.9 ·market 52%
23%
52%
1.9
▼ Edge decreasing
 -56%
2
DESTINEDFORHISTORY
J: Cian Quirke · T: A D Leahy
8.5 ·market 12%
18%
12%
8.5
 +51%
3
PLUMTON QUEEN
J: Kevin Sexton · T: Gavin Cromwell
6.5 ·market 15%
16%
15%
6.5
▲ Edge increasing
 +2%
4
BABY OG
J: Conor Clarke(7) · T: E Seymour
13.0 ·market 8%
13%
8%
13.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 +69%
5
FREE TO SPEAK
J: Ms A Power(7) · T: Patrick John Kiely
26.0 ·market 4%
12%
4%
26.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +200%
6
WHY WAIT
J: Mark Walsh · T: Ciaran Murphy
5.0 ·market 20%
10%
20%
5.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -49%
7
LIGHTHOUSE SARAH
J: Phillip Enright · T: Mark Michael McNiff
17.0 ·market 6%
9%
6%
17.0
 +52%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org