Musselburgh 13:47: Value Analysis

Join Racing TV Now Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes

Monday 12 October 2026

Amateur GTS 9.0f Class 5 9 runners

Our highest-rated MOTAWAARED Our price 2/1 · Available 6/5 We make it 34% · the market says 44%

★ Best value TEE AITCH AYE Our price 10/3 · Available 6/1 We make it 23% · the market says 14% · +60%

Why the model rates MOTAWAARED top (34% chance)

Unexposed type with plenty of scope, winner when running just 4 days ago and second the start before, with a strong record against this class. The trip is the one query, and he races off a low official mark.

✓ Young improver with scope
✓ Race-fit, having run 4 days ago
✓ Ran well two runs back
✕ Trip is a question mark
✕ Official mark among the lowest in the race

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Avg Price	Value
1	MOTAWAARED ★ Top Rated J: Miss Kayleigh Williams(5) · T: Jim Goldie Form: 22521 2.2 ·market 44%	34%	44%	2.2	-23%
2	TEE AITCH AYE J: Mr Jack Loughnane(7) · T: Iain Jardine Form: 63214 · D 7.0 ·market 14%	23%	14%	7.0	+60%
3	FILLY EILISH J: Mr Shay Halton(5) · T: Ivan Furtado Form: 61554 15.0 ·market 7%	9%	7%	15.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+32%
4	STAR START J: Miss Charli Parker(3) · T: Ruth Carr Form: 21206 · D 13.0 ·market 8%	8%	8%	13.0	+5%
5	IBN ALTHEEB J: Mr James Hills(5) · T: Iain Jardine Form: 34007 · D 34.0 ·market 3%	6%	3%	34.0	+120%
6	EPHRON J: Miss Amy Collier · T: Gemma Tutty Form: 27167 · D 7.0 ·market 14%	6%	14%	7.0	-60%
7	PRIDE OF NEPAL J: Miss Brodie Hampson · T: Archie Watson Form: 17446 · D 10.0 ·market 10%	5%	10%	10.0 ▲ Edge increasing	-49%
8	LONE PIPER J: Miss Sophie Dobson(5) · T: Phillip Makin Form: 77 26.0 ·market 4%	5%	4%	26.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+25%
9	MUDITA J: Mr Eireann Cagney · T: Richard & Peter Fahey Form: 30466 6.5 ·market 15%	4%	15%	6.5	-73%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org