Perth 12:55: Value Analysis
Join Racing TV Now Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Thursday 15 October 2026
Ticks most boxes here: Dan Skelton's yard is firing at 24% in the last two months, Harry Skelton at 28%, and he ran well two runs back, though 270 days off, patchy consistency and an untested profile need forgiving.
- ✓ Dan Skelton's yard in form, 24% winners in the last two months
- ✓ Harry Skelton riding well, 28% strike rate in the last two months
- ✓ Ran well two runs back
- ✕ Consistency has been a worry
- ✕ Yet to be tested against much
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
EASTERN FIRE
★ Top Rated
1.9
·market 52%
|
36% |
52% |
1.9
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-30% | |
| 2 |
FEARLESS DRAGON
21.0
·market 5%
|
15% |
5% |
21.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+218% | |
| 3 |
AR AIS ARIS
3.8
·market 27%
|
13% |
27% |
3.8
▲ Edge increasing
|
-51% | |
| 4 |
LE COUP DENVOI
9.0
·market 11%
|
12% |
11% |
9.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+12% | |
| 5 |
BONDI ROAD
101.0
·market 1%
|
7% |
1% |
101.0
|
+558%market disagrees | |
| 6 |
PETERSHAM PLACE
3.8
·market 27%
|
6% |
27% |
3.8
▲ Edge increasing
|
-76% | |
| 7 |
JET NOIR
67.0
·market 1%
|
5% |
1% |
67.0
|
+242% | |
| 8 |
SECRET SOLDIER
81.0
·market 1%
|
5% |
1% |
81.0
|
+307%market disagrees |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org