Sligo 12:50: Value Analysis

Sligo Fillies Maiden Hurdle

Friday 23 October 2026

Maiden GTY 17.5f Class 0 12 runners

Our highest-rated RONNIES RASCAL Our price 3/1 · Available 7/4 We make it 24% · the market says 36%

No standout value here. No runner is rated above its current price.

Why the model rates RONNIES RASCAL top (24% chance)

Solid claims across the board: ran 15 days ago and finished third, with W. P. Mullins's yard striking at 19% in the last two months and today's race no tougher than its recent company. Consistency and the trip are the niggles.

✓ Ran well last time, finished 3rd
✓ W. P. Mullins's yard in form, 19% winners in the last two months
✓ Ideally fresh, 15 days since its last run
✕ Consistency has been a worry
✕ Trip is a question mark

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Avg Price	Value
1	RONNIES RASCAL ★ Top Rated J: Brian Hayes · T: W. P. Mullins Form: 64233 2.8 ·market 36%	24%	36%	2.8	-33%
2	BABY PEARL J: Sean Flanagan · T: Henry de Bromhead Form: 82 4.0 ·market 25%	16%	25%	4.0	-34%
3	LOOK AT YOU J: Philip Byrnes · T: John F O'Neill Form: 3 11.0 ·market 9%	12%	9%	11.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+31%
,	CALA GRACIONETA NR J: James Smith(3) · T: Matthew J Smith Form: 52856 — ·market —	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn
4	RAILWAYVIEW LADY J: Keith Donoghue · T: Gavin Cromwell Form: 08896 5.5 ·market 18%	9%	18%	5.5 ▲ Edge increasing	-49%
5	REPONSE FINALE J: Eoin Staples(5) · T: Gavin Cromwell Form: 21423 11.0 ·market 9%	8%	9%	11.0 ▲ Edge increasing	-15%
6	CASHELDALE LASS J: Sean O'Keeffe · T: Andrew Kinirons Form: 08304 9.0 ·market 11%	7%	11%	9.0 ▼ Edge decreasing	-36%
7	FAERIE TALES J: Ben Kennedy(7) · T: P G Fahey Form: 00348 34.0 ·market 3%	6%	3%	34.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+121%
8	MYSTIC ROSE J: Josh Williamson(3) · T: Patrick Magee Form: 05064 15.0 ·market 7%	6%	7%	15.0 ▼ Edge decreasing	-13%
9	GRATITUDEFORGRACE J: Ethan O'Sullivan(7) · T: Gordon Elliott Form: 0769 34.0 ·market 3%	4%	3%	34.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+53%
,	RIVER MOY NR J: Mr B M Coonan(7) · T: Thomas Coyle Form: 5495 — ·market —	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn
10	IDOMYTHING J: Ricky Doyle · T: Thomas Cleary Form: 06080 67.0 ·market 1%	2%	1%	67.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+61%
11	EVERIN DREAM J: Peter Smithers(5) · T: Jarlath P Fahey Form: 0 67.0 ·market 1%	2%	1%	67.0 ▼ Edge decreasing	+34%
12	RAGSTORICHES J: Eoghan Finegan(5) · T: Gerard Keane Form: 0 81.0 ·market 1%	2%	1%	81.0	+46%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org