Galway 12:32: Value Analysis

Gerry Coyne Memorial Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase

Sunday 25 October 2026

Other Chase SFT 22½f Class 0 6 runners

What the abbreviations mean

Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.

We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)

Our highest-rated CHART TOPPER Our price 2/1 · Available 10/11 We make it 33% · the market says 52%

No standout value here. No runner is rated above its current price.

Why the model rates CHART TOPPER top (33% chance)

✓ Strong record against this class of rival
✓ Ran well two runs back
✕ Trip is a question mark
✕ Official mark among the lowest in the race

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Typical odds	Value
1	CHART TOPPER ★ Top Rated J: Brian Hayes · T: W. P. Mullins Form: PF035 10/11 ·market 52%	33%	52%	10/11 ▲ Edge increasing	-37%
2	DA CAPO GLORY J: Michael Kenneally(3) · T: Padraig Butler Form: 8U225 · C 10/3 ·market 24%	21%	24%	10/3	-12%
3	WILL DO J: Danny Gilligan · T: Gordon Elliott Form: P0PP3 · D 7/2 ·market 22%	17%	22%	7/2 ▼ Edge decreasing	-23%
4	LENGARUKA J: Tom Kelly(7) · T: Derek O'Connor Form: 0535 33/1 ·market 3%	12%	3%	33/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+291%
5	MINT BOY J: Keith Donoghue · T: Gavin Cromwell 15/2 ·market 12%	11%	12%	15/2 ▲ Edge increasing	-5%
6	SURVIVORS SISTER J: Daniel King · T: Paul John Gilligan Form: 7398F 33/1 ·market 3%	7%	3%	33/1 ▼ Edge decreasing	+130%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

That is one of 30 races today. 30 races are still to run today, all rated. A trial opens every one, plus every UK and Irish race from tomorrow on. Seven days free, nothing charged today. Founder price £14.99 a month, locked for life.

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See all of today's value flags → Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org